Tennis · resolved market
Swiss Open: Burruchaga vs. Buse
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x298971858c4a85bb6d40882235a72b7f84f9b452f6e15d54aefc391e0145b5a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Buse of Burruchaga, Buse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Burruchaga | 32c | 9,437$2,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,994.24 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Buse | 70c | 6,941$4,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.17 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f42…6e40backed Buse | 72c | 4,205$3,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Burruchaga | 28c | 3,210$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.89 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Burruchaga | 46c | 800$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Buse | 54c | 749.97$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.99 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Buse | 61c | 715.79$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.64 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Buse | 64c | 483.86$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.4 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Burruchaga | 43c | 479.07$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Burruchaga | 37c | 450$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Burruchaga | 44c | 364.59$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.42 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Burruchaga | 42c | 340$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4243…35d1backed Burruchaga | 46c | 330.43$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -6.4wins | -0.22per pick | 46cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Buse | 64c | 300$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…ae7cbacked Burruchaga | 42c | 241.79$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Burruchaga | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Buse | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Burruchaga | 46c | 145.63$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Buse | 56c | 114.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.42 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Burruchaga | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Buse | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Burruchaga | 28c | 63.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Burruchaga | 38c | 62.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Burruchaga | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Burruchaga | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Burruchaga | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Burruchaga | 42c | 32.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.