MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdefad36fcd55891cb4519c20dd67be61e656f6780acd32df3e745d8c4522aee7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Mariners, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,531,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,562,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,531,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Blue Jays | 59c | 524,637$311,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311,091.68 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5afb…4511backed Mariners | 40c | 402,180$162,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239,785.91 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…e113backed Mariners | 40c | 285,657$114,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171,394.13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Blue Jays | 57c | 128,042$73,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,560.27 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Blue Jays | 60c | 120,000$72,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,000 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Mariners | 40c | 117,270$46,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,361.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Blue Jays | 59c | 60,000$35,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,400 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Blue Jays | 15c | 52,639$7,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,928.05 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Blue Jays | 60c | 44,650$26,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,789.8 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Mariners | 39c | 43,409$16,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,514.69 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners | 40c | 36,491$14,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,894.77 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Blue Jays | 60c | 25,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 21,997$13,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,394.12 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Mariners | 39c | 16,016$6,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,769.45 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 16,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 12,866$5,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,991.93 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Mariners | 39c | 12,547$4,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,643.97 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jays | 9c | 11,744$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.39 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Blue Jays | 8c | 11,125$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Blue Jays | 62c | 10,589$6,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,598.82 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Mariners | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 8,892$5,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,335.2 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Mariners | 41c | 7,315$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,315.63 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…366bbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 7,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mariners | 40c | 6,700$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,020 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…7b24backed Blue Jays | 60c | 6,662$3,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,996.98 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Blue Jays | 18c | 6,423$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.32 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Mariners | 40c | 6,250$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 5,787$3,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,417.67 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Blue Jays | 53c | 5,692$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays | 7c | 5,298$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.91 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Blue Jays | 62c | 5,012$3,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,102.99 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Mariners | 41c | 4,878$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.05 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mariners | 39c | 4,110$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,507.26 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Mariners | 40c | 3,914$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.4 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Blue Jays | 60c | 3,878$2,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,326.85 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Mariners | 40c | 3,868$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320.8 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Blue Jays | 60c | 3,852$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.17 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…406abacked Mariners | 68c | 3,591$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.79 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Mariners | 56c | 3,517$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.47 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Blue Jays | 60c | 3,500$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Mariners | 38c | 3,437$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.42 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Blue Jays | 41c | 3,336$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.46 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Mariners | 78c | 3,287$2,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.2 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Mariners | 40c | 3,200$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Blue Jays | 44c | 3,032$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Mariners | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9d…dc00backed Mariners | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…6b5abacked Blue Jays | 61c | 2,996$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Mariners | 39c | 2,889$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.33 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 64c | 2,861$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.58 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Blue Jays | 74c | 2,784$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.97 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mariners | 38c | 2,621$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.22 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Mariners | 40c | 2,612$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.92 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…2f2dbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 2,383$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Blue Jays | 36c | 2,216$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.32 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Blue Jays | 60c | 2,108$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.06 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 40c | 2,072$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.06 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x808a…be63backed Mariners | 40c | 1,870$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mariners | 62c | 1,831$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.95 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Mariners | 41c | 1,800$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 1,712$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Mariners | 37c | 1,700$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Mariners | 72c | 1,677$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.63 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Blue Jays | 54c | 1,663$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.84 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Mariners | 69c | 1,658$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.95 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfda4…e18abacked Blue Jays | 60c | 1,650$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…278cbacked Mariners | 68c | 1,522$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.13 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays | 34c | 1,358$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.47 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11b2…7431backed Blue Jays | 63c | 1,326$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd70e…439cbacked Blue Jays | 78c | 1,299$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Blue Jays | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdc…f4e4backed Blue Jays | 49c | 1,233$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 1,219$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.24 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Blue Jays | 59c | 1,213$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.04 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Blue Jays | 28c | 1,151$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.87 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Mariners | 44c | 1,151$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.67 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Mariners | 41c | 1,130$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.85 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Blue Jays | 36c | 1,129$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.44 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Mariners | 41c | 1,098$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.56 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Blue Jays | 74c | 1,087$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.43 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b3…a5d6backed Mariners | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Blue Jays | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked Mariners | 40c | 999$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed Mariners | 58c | 959.4$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.95 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Blue Jays | 31c | 899$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.23 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1427…f80abacked Blue Jays | 63c | 843.43$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…d532backed Mariners | 57c | 832.34$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Mariners | 36c | 819.42$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.43 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…4832backed Blue Jays | 47c | 817.02$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.16 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73c…ab35backed Blue Jays | 62c | 800$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…db37backed Blue Jays | 8c | 777$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.82 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Blue Jays | 60c | 750$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Blue Jays | 71c | 745.32$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.81 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…04b8backed Blue Jays | 54c | 743.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Mariners | 37c | 730$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.9 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Mariners | 56c | 725.17$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.07 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaade…71f1backed Blue Jays | 61c | 719.39$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.23 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01fc…249fbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 710.75$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.