TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa8a0…6b5a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: College Football, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST2646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$368
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$973Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$973.3
Kraken vs. Jets: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Utah vs. Blues: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$427.95
Avalanche vs. Utah: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$596.9
Spread: Predators (-1.5)backed Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$231
Spread: Jets (-1.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.97
Kraken vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$321.99
Kraken vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$342
Canucks vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,590Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$1,410
Wild vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,767Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$1,566.96
Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)backed Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,231Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$1,664.64
Spread: Devils (-1.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,890
Lightning vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,530Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$1,469.99
Kings vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,203Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$2,386.44
Utah vs. Blackhawksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,770Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,769.96
Blues vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$704Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$704.32
Predators vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,830Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,830
Capitals vs. Rangersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$1,200.98
Islanders vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$1,650
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$400
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$356.76
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$384.21
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$496.97
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$472.99
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$446.39
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$849.66
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$469.62
Bucks vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$450
Spread: Clippers (-7.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$538.61
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$510
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,189Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,189
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,040Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$959.92
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,860Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$1,140
Celtics vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,014Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,014
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$398.97
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$238.99
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$297.91
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$488.89
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$431.01
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$231.3
All 16 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+83.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Alabama (-11.5)backed South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$480
Georgia State vs. Georgia Southernbacked Georgia Southern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,149Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$1,864.04
Arizona vs. Houstonbacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,529.99
North Carolina vs. Californiabacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$750
Arkansas State vs. South Alabamabacked Arkansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$870Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$2,129.63
Miami (OH) vs. Akronbacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,370Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$629.98
Northern Illinois vs. Eastern Michiganbacked Northern Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,281Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,280.69
Toledo vs. Bowlingbacked Bowling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$2,280
Louisiana Tech vs. Kennesaw Statebacked Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$1,980
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,830Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,830
Red Sox vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$404
Padres vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$255.08
Twins vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+100%+$371
Tigers vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.79
All 5 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs. Mercurybacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,393Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$1,140
Aces vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,860
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Liverpool (-1.5)backed Manchester United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$664Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$406.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs FlyQuest (BO1)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,756Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$682.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.