TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Predators vs. Senators

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Predatorsof Predators, Senators
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$357,992
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$362,038

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $357,992 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 619 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Predators39c204,424$79,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125,226.589340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Senators61c98,912$60,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,336.3716743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Senators61c25,555$15,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,588.554944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Senators62c22,303$13,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,827.5731546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2131…aaf2backed Predators40c16,560$6,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,958.775253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked Senators61c15,000$9,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,150520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Senators62c12,097$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,50010356.3%58 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Senators62c10,720$6,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,646.428353%150 W · 133 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Senators61c9,500$5,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7951,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa4…e9d2backed Senators62c8,074$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.781844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Predators42c5,878$2,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,411.548746%40 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Senators62c5,806$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60070547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Senators60c5,191$3,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,106.951,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Senators32c4,245$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.51,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Senators61c3,862$2,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,356.3557453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Senators67c3,468$2,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,331.8685464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Predators38c3,207$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.4587447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9d…dc00backed Predators39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8302552%13 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a0…6b5abacked Senators61c3,000$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8302646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Predators38c2,500$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.974450%22 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5df…2f2dbacked Senators62c2,419$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Senators55c2,312$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.1558841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Predators45c2,132$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.6795049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Senators61c2,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.9714253.5%76 W · 66 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed Senators62c1,935$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2004242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Senators49c1,855$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.210658.5%62 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Predators41c1,851$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.955253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Senators12c1,812$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.4692848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed Predators38c1,666$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.924252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Senators60c1,666$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.630552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa874…c46abacked Senators62c1,655$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.4560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe040…c867backed Predators40c1,655$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Senators62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Senators32c1,321$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.7589636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Senators60c1,187$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.169550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Predators38c1,055$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.0789249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Senators60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60014447.9%69 W · 75 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedae…584fbacked Senators60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x63af…0a25backed Senators60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked Senators60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Predators38c999.97$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.9851044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Senators61c952.25$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.8793953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Senators60c848$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.875155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Senators1c782$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.061458.3%12 W · 133 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+135.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Senators22c739$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.529545.3%43 W · 52 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb02f…0673backed Senators55c700$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.35per pick46cpaid-76.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Senators61c683$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.6330551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Senators31c634.99$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.3526344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Senators22c634.29$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14029319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Senators62c627$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.741,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Predators70c626.03$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.043,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Predators52c593.09$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.551,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…bdafbacked Senators17c586.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.662839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Predators37c571$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.612,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Senators14c529.36$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.111,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Predators38c513.68$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.678837.5%33 W · 55 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Senators41c503.68$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.961,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21d6…86fdbacked Predators40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3006657.6%38 W · 28 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c02…3c15backed Predators38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c81…e258backed Predators39c482.39$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.262657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Senators61c453.29$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.511,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Predators57c424.62$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.39149.5%45 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed Predators51c411.81$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.1712070.8%85 W · 35 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfece…940bbacked Senators61c391$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.511266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Predators38c350$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2175350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fec…c965backed Senators61c327.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.991330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Senators60c320$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1926543.1%28 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d30…2463backed Predators39c307.69$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.69475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+58.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56bb…8e6bbacked Senators35c300$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…9037backed Predators39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e2d…da5ebacked Senators62c300$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Senators59c290.37$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.3215044.7%67 W · 83 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62b0…029ebacked Senators62c274.19$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+46.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Predators52c272$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.564753.2%25 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52af…57bebacked Predators39c253.85$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fdc…42f9backed Predators43c234.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.07742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c9b…5722backed Senators53c228.32$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick48cpaid-66.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0111…0463backed Predators44c227.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.5923140.3%93 W · 138 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x069d…b34ebacked Predators39c217.95$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Senators59c203.88$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.291127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Senators31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6242847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8194…22adbacked Predators39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1223938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9aa5…f03cbacked Predators39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1224060%24 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+28.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4b6e…5f91backed Senators61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1223237.5%12 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-30.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb1b6…6595backed Senators61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1223354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fa1…b885backed Senators61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1223243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4f3…a721backed Senators61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1223046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dfb…3943backed Senators61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1223354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7a0…f7a9backed Senators61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1221163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7767…c984backed Predators39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1222853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49af…c3eabacked Predators39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1223243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1536…d8cebacked Senators61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1222564%16 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ddb…07d2backed Senators61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1222759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd35…1ab1backed Senators61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1222564%16 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0039…3576backed Senators61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1223151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0622…8f43backed Predators39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1223357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17ac…9105backed Senators61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1221154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4da…1698backed Predators39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1223650%18 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a9e…54a8backed Predators39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1223154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a9…bd7bbacked Senators61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1223336.4%12 W · 21 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.