TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x62b0…029e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NFL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-43.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$157.39
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$280
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$175.5
Suns vs. Hawksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.81
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$316.51
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$177.11
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$538.77
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$260.2
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$222.54
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.75
Grizzlies vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$42.3
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$62.79
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+47.1%+$45.69
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$33
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+46.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$135
Cowboys vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$201.46
Giants vs. Bills backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+81.8%+$41.99
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+100%+$73.55
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST+127.3%+$116.17
Broncos vs. Bengalsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$34.5
Falcons vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+177.8%+$35.56
Chargers vs. Brownsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+82.9%+$41.45
Texans vs. Jetsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+72.4%+$38.02
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT+163.2%+$44.05
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+49.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+46.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Blackhawksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Predators vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$170
Jets vs. Islandersbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$99.32
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$487.14
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$449.74
Avalanche vs. Ducksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$132.55
Blues vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$114.89
All 7 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.81
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$24.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lucknow Super Giants vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+87%+$161.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.