NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae3a8f3304b8087ff2ea528e0dc46c4938362f8fac65bea8fb1d22ea3a86a9d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Magic, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $374,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $387,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $374,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 571 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Magic | 52c | 17,555$9,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,162.96 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Raptors | 39c | 14,412$5,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,745.29 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Raptors | 47c | 14,141$6,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,518.07 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…28f4backed Magic | 53c | 10,997$5,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,828.44 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Magic | 64c | 10,624$6,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,824.2 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Raptors | 46c | 10,294$4,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,537.05 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…db60backed Magic | 55c | 9,141$5,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,002.51 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Raptors | 47c | 7,777$3,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,121.81 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Magic | 54c | 7,407$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Raptors | 46c | 6,232$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,366 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Raptors | 80c | 5,190$4,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.82 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Raptors | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Magic | 3c | 4,549$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.91 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Raptors | 49c | 4,254$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.34 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Magic | 54c | 4,129$2,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.18 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 58c | 4,027$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.39 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Magic | 23c | 3,827$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.57 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Magic | 1c | 3,600$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Raptors | 46c | 3,304$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.3 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Magic | 54c | 3,253$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.49 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…2950backed Magic | 28c | 3,062$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.42 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Magic | 63c | 3,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.39 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Raptors | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.97 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Raptors | 46c | 2,734$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.34 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Magic | 55c | 2,732$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Magic | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc8…3900backed Magic | 55c | 2,364$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Raptors | 36c | 2,208$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.68 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors | 31c | 2,117$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.01 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…2af6backed Raptors | 42c | 2,076$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Raptors | 31c | 2,052$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.32 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Raptors | 45c | 2,045$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.03 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Magic | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors | 34c | 1,994$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.71 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8be7backed Magic | 79c | 1,972$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Raptors | 33c | 1,920$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.21 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Magic | 56c | 1,882$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.03 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d4…6f09backed Magic | 54c | 1,859$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.73 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Raptors | 44c | 1,819$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.45 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Raptors | 46c | 1,811$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.87 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65bd…3320backed Magic | 55c | 1,806$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Raptors | 45c | 1,785$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.8 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…755dbacked Raptors | 76c | 1,782$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.68 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Raptors | 57c | 1,759$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.46 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49cc…9385backed Raptors | 76c | 1,743$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Raptors | 47c | 1,699$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.7 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01b1…5187backed Magic | 54c | 1,689$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Raptors | 45c | 1,670$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.2 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b08…c73dbacked Raptors | 46c | 1,619$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefed…1fffbacked Magic | 54c | 1,619$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Magic | 2c | 1,537$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f6…cce7backed Magic | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -3.0wins | -0.50per pick | 66cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…cfecbacked Magic | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf414…cd58backed Raptors | 46c | 1,480$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.18 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Magic | 31c | 1,418$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.6 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Raptors | 38c | 1,366$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.51 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Raptors | 47c | 1,243$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.04 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…53b4backed Magic | 54c | 1,166$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Magic | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Raptors | 60c | 1,091$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.32 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…03c5backed Magic | 54c | 1,058$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8c…2cb4backed Raptors | 46c | 1,058$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +176.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a73…8b3bbacked Magic | 55c | 1,045$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Magic | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Magic | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Raptors | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Raptors | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Magic | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Magic | 18c | 976.37$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.47 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Magic | 53c | 943.32$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.96 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Raptors | 69c | 935.18$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.91 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Magic | 52c | 929.96$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.58 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Magic | 54c | 899.97$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.98 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Raptors | 45c | 860.93$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.92 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Magic | 55c | 834.55$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Magic | 60c | 802.95$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.06 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3785…8bc3backed Raptors | 45c | 800$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdde2…f115backed Magic | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Raptors | 47c | 792$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.76 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Raptors | 47c | 775.99$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.03 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…7684backed Magic | 72c | 735.3$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.11 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Raptors | 46c | 733.08$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.44 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ef…2c77backed Raptors | 47c | 707.96$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.41 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Magic | 52c | 701.95$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.01 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Magic | 32c | 698.03$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…f59bbacked Magic | 52c | 684.83$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.11 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -62%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdf19…976bbacked Magic | 56c | 670.47$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Magic | 55c | 668.15$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.98 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccce…2c7cbacked Magic | 56c | 661.6$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.05 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…7400backed Raptors | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Magic | 55c | 560.24$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.13 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Magic | 54c | 551.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Raptors | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Raptors | 47c | 502.75$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.52 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Magic | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Magic | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Magic | 55c | 495$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.94 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a8…adcebacked Magic | 68c | 450$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Raptors | 45c | 449.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.99 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Magic | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.