TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a8b…c2d0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
190
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: College Football, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 57 out of 100; worst Weather at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2025, EST11249.1%55 W · 57 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 112 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+105.9%+$234.82
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$176.38
76ers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$59.44
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$138.56
Kings vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+31.7%+$157.19
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$40.73
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$702Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$701.53
Heat vs. Netsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+32.4%+$158.99
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$32.15
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+88.1%+$324.95
Pacers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$224.55
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$496.77
Trail Blazers vs. Hornetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$802Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+123.7%+$991.78
Pelicans vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+25.9%+$45.82
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$997Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$996.65
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST+71.7%+$20.36
Kings vs. Nuggetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$14.95
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$80.1
Mavericks vs. Thunderbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,164Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST+81%+$942.91
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST+89.3%+$1,004.15
Trail Blazers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$30.2
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$790.1
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$294.84
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+117.4%+$533.4
Jazz vs. Thunderbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$180.51
Showing 25 of 112 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST2748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+72.4%+$10.5
Kings vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+105.8%+$64.25
Avalanche vs. Ducksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+39.6%+$30.65
Rangers vs. Starsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+80.6%+$40.03
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+77.2%+$33.37
Canadiens vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$39.48
Blues vs. Panthersbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$15.35
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$24.97
Avalanche vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$48.05
Canucks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$16.85
Senators vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$63.01
Bruins vs. Oilersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$54.79
Kraken vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+52.3%+$23.71
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$106.51
Kings vs. Flyersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+35.8%+$49.87
Devils vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+33.7%+$10.83
Jets vs. Ducksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$22.63
Panthers vs. Wildbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+31.1%+$149.04
Maple Leafs vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$20.95
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$259.85
Jets vs. Sharksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+98.5%+$64.77
Senators vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$44
Capitals vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+198.5%+$57.96
Rangers vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+61.5%+$42.69
Devils vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$35
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+4.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.8
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$4.18
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.97
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+445.5%+$244.98
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.79
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.97
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+29%+$18
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$336.24
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$93.68
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.17
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$114.56
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.6
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.44
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.04
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.44
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.2
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.54
Togo vs. Benin: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+213.9%+$47.69
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.1
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+318.2%+$220.64
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+56%+$17.95
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+158.7%+$160.1
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+115%+$396.38
Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.4
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+44.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.21
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$721Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$721.06
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$31.9
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.58
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$143
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+292.5%+$596.15
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+234.1%+$35.34
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12.53
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2024, EST988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick66cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$36
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+100.6%+$272.46
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.