TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,410
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,075

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,410 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f37…281bbacked Over22c4,199$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.8222813.2%30 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick13cpaid+30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Under60c4,107$2,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637.2412248.4%59 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over39c3,736$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.783,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a8b…c2d0backed Over2c2,881$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.442544%11 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+4.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under71c2,761$1,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.74,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over40c1,921$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.543,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over14c1,848$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.3144539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over40c1,482$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.271,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under58c1,208$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.2261750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over33c1,193$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.012,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under62c1,123$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.1910451.9%54 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over25c1,092$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.921,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Under60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40025537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under59c963.26$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.9433149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Over21c916.66$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.7930642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over22c909.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010832.4%35 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over37c908.41$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.381,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over40c900$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.51,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under72c805.73$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.137650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over39c771.1$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.523,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over35c766$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.4443826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under65c749.41$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.291,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under80c701.98$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.9129740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Under61c600$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23722041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over34c598.92$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.1315141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Under75c596.64$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14829030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over45c564.67$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.728048.8%39 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under61c554.9$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.4176551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under79c520.63$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3833843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Under62c520$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.639951.6%206 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Over27c507.03$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.8321946.1%101 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under61c499.94$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.823,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under68c438.02$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.0216153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Over41c409.76$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16822355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over12c405.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5051514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd73c…21f2backed Over26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over10c389.93$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9985550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over18c386.06$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.11,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd254…9858backed Under76c312.39$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.979462.8%59 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe39…95b5backed Under65c307.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.513100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under79c303.38$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1938819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under60c301.49$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.0941857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9024555.1%135 W · 110 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6705…8184backed Under76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728658.1%50 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Over30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9012729.9%38 W · 89 L+7.3wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3922…0670backed Over40c299.42$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010350.5%52 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8286…6aa5backed Over34c294.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Over34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under60c247.75$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.11,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Under80c246$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.29653.1%51 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019746.2%91 W · 106 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014243.7%62 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over23c225.29$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4983153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over31c224.05$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.373,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over41c222.56$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2516547.9%79 W · 86 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over25c200.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026047.3%123 W · 137 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481968.4%13 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under78c184.79$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.182,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under66c184.52$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7435549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under62c184.32$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9148152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Over16c183.29$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1625049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over38c167.69$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.192,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e5…6e53backed Under61c164.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.03837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ec…fd3fbacked Under70c163.91$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.918169.1%56 W · 25 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under73c156.72$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.311,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under66c153.79$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1831553%167 W · 148 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over38c149.96$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.991,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8511253.6%60 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7554…fc63backed Under75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3322147.5%105 W · 116 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+80.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4def…06e6backed Over8c133.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.67185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under62c132.02$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0784751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed Under79c125.37$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.339957.6%57 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under64c125.18$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.478,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028240.8%115 W · 167 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under43c123.65$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.482,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under75c120.55$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.722,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f2e…6da4backed Under61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397954.4%43 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Under79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2118371%130 W · 53 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16f3…e1eebacked Under59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418938.2%34 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over38c99.97$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.991,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Under78c96.17$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9836543.3%158 W · 207 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over29c94.22$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3317535.4%62 W · 113 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under70c93.61$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.329456.4%53 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3c1…13cabacked Under60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331693.8%15 W · 1 L+4.6wins+0.29per pick65cpaid+47.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Under60c82$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.820053%106 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed Over18c80$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.413830.4%42 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe23f…f55abacked Under65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Over40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029636.1%107 W · 189 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under79c74.9$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.84,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd05c…ade7backed Over36c74.83$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.696564.6%42 W · 23 L+8.1wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+23.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over19c73.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1431747.6%151 W · 166 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71a2…e17dbacked Under77c73.17$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.836271%44 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over40c65.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.231149.5%154 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Over46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028326.1%74 W · 209 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under56c62.94$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.590840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under69c59.61$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.321,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6b7…47e7backed Under59c58.9$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.94866.7%32 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Over34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025639.1%100 W · 156 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over36c55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.825848.4%125 W · 133 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.