Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b24f2d684dc085abd913f7fb9d72218550458f15686cb024453db61575ffc80

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Argentinaof Argentina, Iceland
Resolved: Jun 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $38,273
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $39,452

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,273 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Argentina	35c	17,447$6,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,396.81	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Iceland	65c	17,104$11,051 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,051.12	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Argentina	37c	3,193$1,173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,020.42	187	40.6%76 W · 111 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Iceland	65c	3,016$1,959 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,959.17	100	42%42 W · 58 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Argentina	38c	1,536$584 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$951.52	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked Iceland	70c	1,430$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	58	63.8%37 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Iceland	62c	999.99$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619.99	255	37.6%96 W · 159 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Iceland	62c	947.15$587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$587.23	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Argentina	35c	758$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$492.7	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff2…c175backed Argentina	42c	613.8$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$355.68	76	17.1%13 W · 63 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Iceland	61c	599.98$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365.99	374	51.6%193 W · 181 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed Argentina	30c	559.25$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392.15	138	30.4%42 W · 96 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Iceland	62c	464.37$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.31	765	51.6%395 W · 370 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Argentina	49c	429.79$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.32	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Iceland	61c	420$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.66	281	62.6%176 W · 105 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb876…d9c3backed Argentina	39c	350$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.5	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	+7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3275…b8acbacked Argentina	46c	348$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188	107	62.6%67 W · 40 L	+8.0wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Argentina	39c	326.82$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.09	1,204	48.9%589 W · 615 L	+18.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Argentina	46c	301.81$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.81	101	60.4%61 W · 40 L	+11.2wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+22%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Iceland	63c	261.71$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.88	778	45%350 W · 428 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Argentina	33c	254.27$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.53	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Iceland	56c	250$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139	138	50.7%70 W · 68 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Iceland	69c	231.45$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.64	387	45%174 W · 213 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Iceland	66c	223.1$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.19	481	52.4%252 W · 229 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Argentina	43c	205.51$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.51	847	38.8%329 W · 518 L	-9.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Argentina	33c	200$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.8	124	37.1%46 W · 78 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Iceland	67c	196$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.6	617	50.6%312 W · 305 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Iceland	64c	186.99$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.27	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Argentina	38c	175.88$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.61	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce72…cbefbacked Iceland	63c	170$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.1	90	52.2%47 W · 43 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Iceland	66c	162.07$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.25	847	51%432 W · 415 L	+10.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Iceland	62c	161.69$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Iceland	56c	153.15$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.28	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Iceland	15c	149.57$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.13	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0783…00d3backed Iceland	66c	147.96$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.88	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	-5.7wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Iceland	69c	144.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	121	43%52 W · 69 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b6f…4c96backed Iceland	60c	133.5$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Iceland	61c	131.08$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.96	271	54.6%148 W · 123 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Argentina	41c	120.68$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.68	363	49.3%179 W · 184 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Argentina	31c	112$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.28	413	44.1%182 W · 231 L	-16.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Argentina	38c	110.34$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.43	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Argentina	32c	104$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.68	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Iceland	63c	103.17$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	68	45.6%31 W · 37 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Iceland	68c	100.3$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.13	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce83…9878backed Iceland	58c	100$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	58cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Argentina	36c	99.93$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.46	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29d3…ccf6backed Argentina	35c	97.14$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.14	171	45%77 W · 94 L	+11.5wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Argentina	29c	94.89$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.15	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Argentina	39c	92.79$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.06	418	57.9%242 W · 176 L	+14.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Iceland	66c	90.91$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	87	66.7%58 W · 29 L	+12.6wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Iceland	14c	90.17$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.64	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e73…9150backed Iceland	58c	86.37$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.28	83	60.2%50 W · 33 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Argentina	79c	86.13$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.09	876	51.1%448 W · 428 L	+25.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf92c…a387backed Iceland	62c	81.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	76	44.7%34 W · 42 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Iceland	63c	76$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.51	815	54.8%447 W · 368 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Iceland	66c	75$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.65	935	42.2%395 W · 540 L	-27.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3c1…13cabacked Iceland	68c	73.53$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	93.8%15 W · 1 L	+4.6wins	+0.29per pick	65cpaid	+47.5%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed Iceland	70c	71.43$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	63	58.7%37 W · 26 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4023…5746backed Iceland	67c	66.79$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.61	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked Argentina	45c	66.67$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.67	115	49.6%57 W · 58 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11c9…1184backed Argentina	38c	65.34$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.51	51	27.5%14 W · 37 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Iceland	61c	60$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.46	118	60.2%71 W · 47 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Iceland	65c	53.66$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.11	475	46.1%219 W · 256 L	-15.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Iceland	68c	50.01$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.01	175	35.4%62 W · 113 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+46.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca7e…f568backed Iceland	58c	48.98$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.41	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Iceland	62c	48.42$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.02	831	53.3%443 W · 388 L	+15.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5492…9776backed Argentina	44c	45.45$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.45	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+3.6wins	+0.15per pick	47cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c26…1694backed Argentina	29c	45$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Iceland	67c	44.9$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	99	54.5%54 W · 45 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefa1…8a16backed Argentina	45c	42.22$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.22	164	53%87 W · 77 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d10…5c74backed Argentina	38c	40$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.95	114	57%65 W · 49 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f15…a670backed Iceland	63c	39.84$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	190	69.5%132 W · 58 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	66cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Argentina	29c	38.45$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.14	237	43.9%104 W · 133 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Argentina	37c	38$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.94	266	31.2%83 W · 183 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb481…4db8backed Argentina	39c	35.95$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.93	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	+6.1wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Iceland	70c	32.86$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	112	53.6%60 W · 52 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea89…476abacked Iceland	62c	31.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.82	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.15per pick	49cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Argentina	39c	31.74$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.36	373	48.3%180 W · 193 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x65f4…5222backed Argentina	39c	30.77$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.77	268	35.4%95 W · 173 L	-8.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb482…e138backed Iceland	65c	30.72$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	64	40.6%26 W · 38 L	-6.2wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Iceland	64c	30.31$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.47	360	45.3%163 W · 197 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1110…ea61backed Iceland	69c	30$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.7	62	75.8%47 W · 15 L	+12.6wins	+0.20per pick	55cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked Iceland	52c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	248	37.1%92 W · 156 L	-12.5wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x978f…e14dbacked Argentina	39c	30$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.3	104	47.1%49 W · 55 L	+9.0wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Argentina	47c	29$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.36	150	59.3%89 W · 61 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x521e…c074backed Iceland	65c	28.07$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.25	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Iceland	67c	27.46$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.48	1,459	53.9%787 W · 672 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Iceland	54c	24.77$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.41	341	2.9%10 W · 331 L	-132.4wins	-0.39per pick	42cpaid	-94%equal weight	10-0.36 edge/pick
0x18d2…e9c3backed Iceland	66c	20.06$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.21	147	68.7%101 W · 46 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	67cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ae3…93c3backed Iceland	66c	20.06$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.21	65	75.4%49 W · 16 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	68cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd87a…4e56backed Iceland	60c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4b7…3267backed Iceland	61c	19.44$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.86	270	58.1%157 W · 113 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Argentina	58c	17.71$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.36	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Iceland	62c	17.64$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.94	365	58.4%213 W · 152 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Iceland	63c	17.47$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	235	52.8%124 W · 111 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Iceland	63c	16.41$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.29	315	50.8%160 W · 155 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Argentina (-2.5)this page
Argentina vs. Iceland: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Iceland: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Argentina vs. Iceland: Iceland O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5Over won
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 3.5Under won
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 4.5Under won
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina won
Spread: Iceland (-1.5)Argentina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event