TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,569
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,754

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,569 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c6,755$3,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,506.664,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under41c4,867$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,983.083,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed Over38c3,617$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,247.798728.7%25 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under62c3,493$2,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,169.333,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over60c3,254$1,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.853,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Over24c3,210$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,438.6528229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under73c2,959$2,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,161.734,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over54c2,674$1,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.8374034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over66c2,003$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.9921631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over56c1,614$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.4834964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over28c1,592$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.1846939.4%185 W · 284 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dde…24ecbacked Over28c1,592$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.410242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under44c1,359$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.8824058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over34c1,250$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.4827931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under29c1,222$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.7568141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over56c1,200$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52237451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Under39c1,141$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.9139951.6%206 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over60c939.07$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.931,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under37c932.96$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.291,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under44c858.26$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38010451.9%54 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over62c834.86$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.251,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under37c799.9$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.9614433.3%48 W · 96 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over54c763.33$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.131,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under38c720.52$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.841451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under38c720.52$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.835549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2912250%61 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under54c702.6$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.8437650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over59c667.45$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.5415650%78 W · 78 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Over54c650$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29714051.4%72 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Under48c570.39$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.112416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-74.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Under53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005841.4%24 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over63c543.11$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.958955.1%49 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf27a…78d8backed Over67c542.39$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.822752.4%119 W · 108 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over39c539$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.7961750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8640…cdf1backed Over57c517.72$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.6211135.1%39 W · 72 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x733d…cc26backed Over59c508.64$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.644233.3%14 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2f…3531backed Under48c501$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.484238.1%16 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd73c…21f2backed Over52c500$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.34560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over62c474.79$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.4276551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36a3…5b2dbacked Over64c467.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.1710657.5%61 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over52c455$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.444435.4%157 W · 287 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6255…a29bbacked Over58c451.02$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.959323.7%22 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Over58c440$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.822639.4%89 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a02…8773backed Over58c434.06$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.064060%24 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Under37c403.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010448.1%50 W · 54 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024626%64 W · 182 L+1.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under40c399.95$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.023,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over40c395$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23716325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Under56c363.52$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.9529030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under45c354.76$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.862,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over57c349.98$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.9913850.7%70 W · 68 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4023…5746backed Under9c338.72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.212634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Over59c329.74$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.4514463.2%91 W · 53 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over56c324.23$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.0523363.5%148 W · 85 L+19.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over59c316.54$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.781,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over35c299$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.3543826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8af5…4bbabacked Over51c290.91$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.559445.7%43 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd20b…3a20backed Over62c287.06$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2312663.5%80 W · 46 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed Over42c285.45$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.2713830.4%42 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over75c281.93$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.687651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Under13c281.18$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.558817%15 W · 73 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e4a…c29fbacked Over73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.973953.8%21 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under58c270.11$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.3538819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Under34c266$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4815059.3%89 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over64c263.82$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8233544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over56c247.41$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.138058.8%47 W · 33 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over62c242.89$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8931747.6%151 W · 166 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd254…9858backed Under52c226.77$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.929462.8%59 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f9…6d50backed Over37c224.43$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.433129%9 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0783…00d3backed Under16c223.09$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.57950.6%40 W · 39 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over60c223$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5525848.4%125 W · 133 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over29c216.5$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.8664446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ebc…01c6backed Under37c213.89$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Over48c204$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0811566.1%76 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over60c200$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over59c200$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.432,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8024555.1%135 W · 110 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x805b…ee0cbacked Over49c194$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9423844.1%105 W · 133 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4704…515ebacked Over48c190.81$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.225133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over54c183.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5610157.4%58 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over60c167.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4538960.7%236 W · 153 L+24.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cfc…ab38backed Over59c164.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.649644.8%43 W · 53 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9328258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under38c151.64$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6241857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Over66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5214243.7%62 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6705…8184backed Under49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748658.1%50 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over50c149.97$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5950450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under32c149.85$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1117535.4%62 W · 113 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under57c147.52$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.72,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Under48c144.98$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1346012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8552441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over58c125.65$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.288646.5%40 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c26…1694backed Over41c118.49$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabef…cf4ebacked Under51c118.04$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.992218.2%4 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-66.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under39c114.75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7544539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over63c111.77$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.883,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under53c105.8$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.481,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x310d…4decbacked Under52c100.83$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4310142.6%43 W · 58 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf12…76debacked Under37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378949.4%44 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.