Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4592712ce594afc687a786d075007ab8792102b43206a21abe41ccf65ead11eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Argentinaof Argentina, Iceland
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Argentina | 63c | 22,929$14,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,566.45 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Iceland | 40c | 13,324$5,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,325.78 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Iceland | 40c | 11,835$4,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,773.84 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Iceland | 41c | 8,966$3,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,682.85 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Iceland | 37c | 8,814$3,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,261.92 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Argentina | 63c | 8,710$5,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,242.2 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Argentina | 54c | 6,571$3,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.1 | 219 | 46.1%101 W · 118 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Iceland | 40c | 5,669$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.62 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Argentina | 60c | 4,179$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.77 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…7910backed Argentina | 57c | 2,628$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.34 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Argentina | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.99 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54f6…b0f2backed Argentina | 59c | 1,920$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.95 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Iceland | 45c | 1,790$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.89 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Argentina | 64c | 1,705$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.92 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Iceland | 40c | 1,698$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.53 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Iceland | 37c | 1,353$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.81 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Iceland | 36c | 1,324$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.44 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d9…227fbacked Iceland | 37c | 1,057$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.16 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Argentina | 61c | 999.56$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.83 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Argentina | 57c | 999.4$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.74 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Iceland | 37c | 938.7$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.56 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Iceland | 35c | 893.99$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.85 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Iceland | 39c | 857.66$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.26 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Argentina | 63c | 816.44$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.85 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…b8acbacked Argentina | 68c | 812.37$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.37 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Argentina | 61c | 765.62$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.59 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf36…6ebbbacked Iceland | 42c | 764.22$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Argentina | 66c | 759.62$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.62 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Iceland | 40c | 735.93$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Argentina | 62c | 728$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.64 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Iceland | 39c | 687.39$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.67 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Iceland | 40c | 641.66$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.2 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Iceland | 38c | 623.94$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.1 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Iceland | 39c | 615.13$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Iceland | 38c | 599.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Iceland | 43c | 599.98$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.99 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Argentina | 64c | 596.26$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.81 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Iceland | 33c | 565$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.53 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Argentina | 62c | 508.06$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.06 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Iceland | 39c | 501.22$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.49 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…2871backed Argentina | 60c | 490.52$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.21 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Argentina | 64c | 478.46$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.52 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…28d2backed Argentina | 51c | 430$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.7 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Argentina | 52c | 430$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.4 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Argentina | 60c | 409.83$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.96 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Argentina | 55c | 399.95$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.98 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Argentina | 62c | 396.19$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.55 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Argentina | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 291 | 38.5%112 W · 179 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8286…6aa5backed Argentina | 60c | 335.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.42 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Argentina | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.05 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Argentina | 57c | 289.47$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.47 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Iceland | 43c | 289.15$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…79f3backed Argentina | 69c | 288.93$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.57 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…a4f8backed Argentina | 64c | 273.44$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.44 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Iceland | 36c | 270.63$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.43 | 370 | 51.4%190 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Argentina | 61c | 257.88$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.56 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Argentina | 60c | 240$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Argentina | 57c | 235.18$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.13 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Argentina | 59c | 228.94$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.94 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Argentina | 64c | 216.16$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.82 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Iceland | 41c | 214.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.15 | 119 | 63%75 W · 44 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…e0e5backed Argentina | 60c | 208.58$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.43 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Argentina | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Argentina | 60c | 199.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Iceland | 39c | 196.82$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.76 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Iceland | 36c | 168.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc12c…cdfbbacked Argentina | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781d…201bbacked Argentina | 62c | 163.16$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.37 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Argentina | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 142 | 43.7%62 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…521fbacked Argentina | 55c | 161$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Argentina | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Argentina | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Iceland | 43c | 156.43$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 387 | 45%174 W · 213 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Argentina | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Argentina | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…3b73backed Argentina | 62c | 146.39$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.63 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Argentina | 76c | 146.17$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Iceland | 17c | 145.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Argentina | 58c | 138.14$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Argentina | 76c | 134$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…4c26backed Argentina | 58c | 132.09$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.53 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Iceland | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 234 | 53%124 W · 110 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Iceland | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…0350backed Iceland | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d6…8267backed Argentina | 57c | 101.21$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Argentina | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 171 | 62%106 W · 65 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0783…00d3backed Iceland | 47c | 93.49$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9456…af0cbacked Argentina | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Iceland | 17c | 82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…f60abacked Argentina | 61c | 81.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…1803backed Argentina | 61c | 81.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf9…dde4backed Argentina | 53c | 81.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed Iceland | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Argentina | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 277 | 67.9%188 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…4c96backed Iceland | 38c | 79.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Argentina | 62c | 79.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…38fcbacked Argentina | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06aa…fbf3backed Argentina | 65c | 76.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Iceland | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Argentina | 72c | 73.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 214 | 39.7%85 W · 129 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)this page
- Argentina vs. Iceland: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Iceland: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Argentina vs. Iceland: Iceland O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 3.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Iceland (-1.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.