TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6b6f…4c96

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Premier League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Gregory Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kamaru Usman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.69
UFC Fight Night: Jared Cannonier vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Jared Cannonier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Mitch Ramirez (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Mitch Ramirez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Tabatha Ricci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$91.67
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Mario Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$41.43
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Brandon Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+193.1%+$75.96
UFC 329: Kai Kamaka III vs. Luke Riley (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Luke Riley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$34.48
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+400%+$800
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$40
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Sean O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21.27
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Derrick Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Michael Chandler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Bo Nickal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$130.49
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Santiago Luna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)backed King Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Joshua Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Waldo Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Steve Erceg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$22.5
UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Shamil Gaziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.12
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Azamat Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.73
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$52.46
France vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$91.94
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed Qatar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Algeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Nigeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$43.53
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Iceland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Iceland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Peru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-30.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$27.9
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$116.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.