TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,553,969
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,739,470

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,553,969 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,922 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4c6a…0f47backed Over55c888,888$488,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399,999.41546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under45c723,013$324,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324,683.1777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c426,892$216,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216,574.884,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Over57c352,440$200,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152,439.9911645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Over50c181,645$90,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90,861.0515552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Under50c175,000$86,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86,749.975451.9%28 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Under47c149,999$70,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,499.4715249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Over55c133,292$73,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,981.2522348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over56c125,000$70,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,00019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c123,509$56,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,262.561,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c1…4cf3backed Over51c120,479$61,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,034.552740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c3…600fbacked Over55c93,516$51,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,276.044148.8%20 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under45c87,691$39,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,381.9820844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Under46c75,000$34,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,499.785263.5%33 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over53c71,021$37,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,375.7242541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under44c69,999$30,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,499.7415950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over56c68,485$38,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,008.422,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under69c63,950$44,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,421.922,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed Under45c62,000$27,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,9009747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Over53c53,213$28,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,010.146842.6%29 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd0e…9884backed Over57c52,632$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,631.583151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under45c50,000$22,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,499.816331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under45c48,838$21,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,977.0413738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over54c48,070$25,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,112.229740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Under43c47,000$20,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,2107949.4%39 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb58…43c2backed Under47c44,000$20,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,679.974040%16 W · 24 L-7.3wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfb84…5fb5backed Over54c41,002$22,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,964.985843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over31c38,988$12,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,772.561,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34f6…4535backed Over40c37,310$14,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,419.24456.8%25 W · 19 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over54c37,037$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,037.0431644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Under47c36,739$17,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,25014055.7%78 W · 62 L+15.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+22.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed Over57c35,000$19,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,0502748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under51c33,814$17,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,409.1164446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under44c33,274$14,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,640.3836031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under44c30,648$13,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,357.4953448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Under49c30,000$14,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,70017949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under45c30,000$13,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,50074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Under50c30,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0006045%27 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2f…b499backed Under0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020340.4%82 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over53c29,114$15,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,582.061,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Under46c28,059$12,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,907.1417447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1569…bf0cbacked Under79c25,247$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,000933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid+101.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Over54c25,000$13,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,50025844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Over50c22,000$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,0007642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under49c21,570$10,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,507.982,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under62c21,274$13,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,181.273,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over51c20,710$10,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,104.488,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over54c20,000$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,2002,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under42c20,000$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,40037959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed Under64c20,000$12,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,80017034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under44c20,000$8,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,799.923943.6%17 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93eb…c387backed Over54c19,692$10,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,058.328349.4%41 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over27c19,284$5,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,025.153,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1c…d8b5backed Under70c17,057$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,00014734%50 W · 97 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked Over54c16,533$8,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,605.16448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over57c15,153$8,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,591.3436247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over53c15,000$7,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,05027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Over55c14,819$8,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,716.684341.9%18 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ea8…9469backed Over53c12,911$6,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,068.328353%44 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under43c12,000$5,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,16036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Under47c11,464$5,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,430.9422752.4%119 W · 108 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1fa…8c66backed Over53c11,321$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,320.751154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdae0…836abacked Over53c11,321$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,320.751369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+36.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Under44c10,586$4,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,658250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c10,431$4,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,943.741,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under46c10,316$4,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,712.321,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Over21c10,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,90014829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,60011443%49 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,70059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Under43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,299.9921937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed Under49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.839253.3%49 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under73c9,589$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,00065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over53c9,453$5,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,442.837452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under47c9,266$4,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,355.1210146.5%47 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under50c9,216$4,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,607.8813742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24f0…7ad4backed Over55c9,203$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,103.215442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under44c9,089$3,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.1221849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under47c9,000$4,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,229.9929646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Over56c8,976$5,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,949.575952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Under46c8,732$4,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,034.94751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under47c8,500$3,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,969.9350243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Over53c8,384$4,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,940.558251.2%42 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under44c8,239$3,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,651.041,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Over53c8,226$4,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,866.2510849.1%53 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Under1c8,107$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0965835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under43c8,000$3,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4408357.8%48 W · 35 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+77.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Over54c8,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,679.9913746.7%64 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Under46c8,000$3,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,679.927653.9%41 W · 35 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4587…7bc9backed Over53c7,867$4,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,697.533850%19 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over53c7,820$4,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,652.710744.9%48 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under66c7,704$5,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,075.3832656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4419…19d7backed Over53c7,547$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,547.173271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over13c7,300$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,329.458723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under45c7,200$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,24035251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under46c7,091$3,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,276.574,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under77c7,048$5,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,427.3766846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Over53c7,021$3,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.7513857.2%79 W · 59 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bc9…ab64backed Under3c6,912$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.363525.7%9 W · 26 L+6.8wins+0.20per pick6cpaid+327.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under45c6,899$3,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,073.031,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Under3c6,870$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.1140240%161 W · 241 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.