TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Senegal: France O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$312,862
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$369,672

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,862 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Under38c39,165$14,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,705.7377152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over63c35,714$22,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,214.2919644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c35,250$15,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,402.744,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over62c26,652$16,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,089.392,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14b9…f378backed Under41c13,851$5,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,663.96929%20 W · 49 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Under40c12,547$5,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,018.799551.6%49 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over59c10,680$6,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,359.872,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.9920724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over54c8,613$4,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,998.33,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over59c8,512$5,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,504.558,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under39c8,340$3,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,252.5474447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under40c6,879$2,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,747.132,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under38c6,500$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,439.991,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under38c6,328$2,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,422.232,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Over62c5,697$3,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,164.919929.3%29 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under37c5,201$1,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,942.481,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fcf…80acbacked Over59c3,375$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.222060%12 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under39c3,301$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.823,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00016747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8afe…aec0backed Over62c2,001$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.21977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b94…b660backed Under62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.074131.7%13 W · 28 L-7.3wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-31.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Under39c2,000$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.983033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c0…4aa3backed Over20c1,943$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.445330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x703f…ba86backed Over62c1,765$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x897c…cb6cbacked Over61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.343470.6%24 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.330465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over61c1,500$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58510335%36 W · 67 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a6a…0010backed Under58c1,498$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.33333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+120.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c95…8a0bbacked Over63c1,442$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.44785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2d9…26a2backed Over62c1,437$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.984057.5%23 W · 17 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed Over62c1,384$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.7617948%86 W · 93 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…f666backed Over54c1,381$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.919530.5%29 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Under38c1,365$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.6851315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe879…750ebacked Over56c1,358$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.541275%9 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Under39c1,268$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.3211243.8%49 W · 63 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Under71c1,132$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.8612248.4%59 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Over72c1,111$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.1241968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x1eab…4822backed Over28c1,067$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.8113447.8%64 W · 70 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under39c1,066$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.673,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd492…7469backed Over61c1,066$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.576259.7%37 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Over45c1,060$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58317241.3%71 W · 101 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfacb…ccc7backed Over58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4203842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38013155%72 W · 59 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8100…53a9backed Over62c930.71$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.673158.1%18 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+28.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under39c925.52$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.323,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under59c921.48$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.294,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe043…b415backed Over62c905.5$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.091258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over44c851.31$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.52,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x64a3…b5eebacked Over60c835.61$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.373154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1d…b646backed Over60c833.15$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.26560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.4524555.1%135 W · 110 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb909…d559backed Over62c799.36$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.767653.9%41 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x426d…b976backed Over62c798.34$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.373458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Over63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.6517751.4%91 W · 86 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Over58c779.36$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.332969%20 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbdba…aa96backed Over59c750.68$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.782365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Over62c750$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28514246.5%66 W · 76 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over61c706.89$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.244,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under59c706$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.52,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under42c703.14$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.151,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Over58c700$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2949752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f85…4834backed Over41c681.37$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.014143.9%18 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1907…85b9backed Over63c620.56$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.619239.1%36 W · 56 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4f…0b9ebacked Over61c573.77$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.7716750.9%85 W · 82 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Over44c540$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.44772.3%34 W · 13 L+12.7wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+107.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x2c09…ed31backed Over60c539$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21814440.3%58 W · 86 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Under62c528$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.1716152.2%84 W · 77 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under45c519$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.182,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Over39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.8236437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under41c500.1$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.041,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18e4…e2bbbacked Over31c500$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3453447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e3a…55babacked Over60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20015044%66 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over58c496$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.322,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under38c495.55$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.281,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c5b…554fbacked Over60c490.12$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.05742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick68cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over45c488.89$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.8915650%78 W · 78 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x845b…5c2dbacked Over41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.85735.1%20 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Over31c487.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.1414235.2%50 W · 92 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc7…f7debacked Over62c479.24$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.1114939.6%59 W · 90 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc790…cbd2backed Over58c477.38$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.53839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over54c450.36$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.991,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over50c449.5$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.541,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01ee…6ab0backed Over45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4412763.8%81 W · 46 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under40c434.79$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17513729.9%41 W · 96 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under40c424.12$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.591,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over59c423.73$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.731,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfae6…3fe9backed Over63c363.51$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.59355.9%52 W · 41 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under49c349.19$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.742,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under38c339.99$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.6782348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8876…34c9backed Over29c333.79$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.993718.9%7 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Over62c329.5$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.2116655.4%92 W · 74 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb2d…b308backed Over31c323.35$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.352227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over50c323.28$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.871,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd976…7636backed Over63c309.52$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.522277.3%17 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Over20c301.8$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.5422122.2%49 W · 172 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d68…d64cbacked Over62c300.23$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.09771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Over45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1657250%36 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Over62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1146762.7%42 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.