Spread: France (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3045a441e5ea4e49468d0fac36d47c32ceae2e572bd7960111187b6630a83b46

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Franceof France, Senegal
Resolved: Jun 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,539,125
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,032,918

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,539,125 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,471 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd1c5…cbd0backed Senegal	60c	521,578$312,947 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312,946.93	25	48%12 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked France	40c	498,973$198,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300,673.67	141	39%55 W · 86 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89dd…f662backed Senegal	60c	228,701$137,221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137,220.62	27	74.1%20 W · 7 L	+7.8wins	+0.29per pick	45cpaid	+98.4%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd0ad…f568backed Senegal	61c	200,000$122,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121,999.92	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.23per pick	43cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed France	40c	192,689$77,076 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115,613.4	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Senegal	60c	155,268$93,685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93,684.66	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96a5…b4fabacked France	39c	136,384$53,307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83,077.29	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+2.6wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	+26%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed France	40c	136,340$55,132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81,207.8	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed France	40c	125,000$50,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75,000	142	48.6%69 W · 73 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Senegal	61c	125,000$76,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76,249.75	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+4.6wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Senegal	61c	120,000$73,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73,200	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Senegal	59c	99,999$59,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58,999.54	223	48.4%108 W · 115 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed France	40c	84,972$33,649 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51,322.9	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed France	39c	75,412$29,411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46,001.32	116	47.4%55 W · 61 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed France	43c	54,478$23,162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,315.72	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Senegal	59c	51,559$30,420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,419.52	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed France	76c	50,154$38,123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,030.62	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Senegal	60c	50,000$29,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,899.86	159	50.3%80 W · 79 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Senegal	60c	45,000$27,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,000	70	50%35 W · 35 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed France	39c	44,360$17,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,059.6	297	40.1%119 W · 178 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked France	39c	43,721$17,209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,511.29	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked France	39c	41,530$16,307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,223.4	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked France	38c	40,122$15,269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,852.71	206	33%68 W · 138 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb58…43c2backed Senegal	61c	40,000$24,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,399.91	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-7.3wins	-0.18per pick	58cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed France	34c	36,964$12,501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,462.8	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Senegal	59c	36,424$21,376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,376.05	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked France	39c	34,138$13,314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,824.36	187	38%71 W · 116 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36a7…b6e9backed France	39c	33,731$13,155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,575.93	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc30b…fec0backed Senegal	60c	32,865$19,719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,719.2	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.28per pick	61cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed France	39c	32,357$12,678 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,679.7	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+4.2wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked France	39c	28,075$10,949 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,125.51	208	44.7%93 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed France	40c	25,000$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,000	316	44.9%142 W · 174 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked France	42c	23,563$9,781 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,782.11	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked France	48c	21,266$10,232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,033.4	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked France	39c	19,622$7,634 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,988.27	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed France	39c	18,000$7,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,980	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Senegal	59c	16,808$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	-4.3wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed Senegal	60c	16,667$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	69	39.1%27 W · 42 L	-6.7wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed Senegal	60c	16,667$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	70	20%14 W · 56 L	-6.4wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x66ac…0118backed France	33c	16,139$5,354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,784.82	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-2.4wins	-0.14per pick	20cpaid	-82.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Senegal	61c	15,828$9,577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,577.35	193	45.1%87 W · 106 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Senegal	61c	15,000$9,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,150	114	43%49 W · 65 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed France	40c	15,000$6,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,999.99	388	17.5%68 W · 320 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed France	77c	14,838$11,362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,475.99	364	37.1%135 W · 229 L	+16.5wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked France	40c	13,750$5,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,250	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x036e…c670backed France	41c	13,000$5,330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,670	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.31per pick	47cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed France	39c	12,318$4,821 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,497.04	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1c…d8b5backed France	41c	12,195$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,195.12	147	34%50 W · 97 L	+4.6wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1171…98dcbacked France	37c	11,200$4,121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,078.47	71	43.7%31 W · 40 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8594…ed4fbacked France	41c	10,995$4,508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,486.81	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed France	37c	10,426$3,827 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,599.44	349	64.5%225 W · 124 L	+73.5wins	+0.21per pick	43cpaid	+123.1%equal weight	72+0.20 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed France	74c	10,380$7,696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,684.16	208	56.7%118 W · 90 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed France	33c	10,265$3,410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,855.25	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Senegal	70c	10,255$7,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,209.71	847	38.8%329 W · 518 L	-9.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…a96fbacked France	40c	10,212$4,075 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,136.22	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf21…1846backed France	40c	10,094$4,038 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,056.58	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcfb…efc0backed Senegal	63c	10,001$6,294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,293.79	71	29.6%21 W · 50 L	-6.6wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked France	40c	10,000$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,000	126	55.6%70 W · 56 L	+9.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed France	19c	10,000$1,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,080.34	158	44.3%70 W · 88 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed France	25c	10,000$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,499.97	148	29.7%44 W · 104 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed France	40c	10,000$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,999.89	207	24.6%51 W · 156 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed France	40c	9,999$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,999.3	218	49.5%108 W · 110 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked France	55c	9,651$5,283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,367.81	88	71.6%63 W · 25 L	+8.1wins	+0.09per pick	62cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Senegal	60c	9,617$5,754 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,753.91	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Senegal	63c	8,791$5,538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,538.21	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe348…a303backed France	39c	8,473$3,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,172.97	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-24%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked France	41c	8,306$3,406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,900.66	115	61.7%71 W · 44 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Senegal	61c	8,197$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	86	48.8%42 W · 44 L	+10.1wins	+0.12per pick	37cpaid	+77.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x901f…74e9backed France	37c	8,020$2,934 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,085.57	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x643c…3fc2backed Senegal	60c	7,500$4,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,500	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8438…4831backed France	20c	7,329$1,466 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,863.08	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Senegal	60c	7,133$4,259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,259.33	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed France	8c	7,043$532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,510.96	130	59.2%77 W · 53 L	+31.0wins	+0.24per pick	35cpaid	+118.1%equal weight	72+0.20 edge/pick
0xb1bf…f74bbacked France	41c	7,000$2,870 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,130	63	34.9%22 W · 41 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Senegal	60c	6,557$3,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,939.99	76	40.8%31 W · 45 L	-8.3wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked France	39c	6,389$2,492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,897.16	113	46%52 W · 61 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed France	80c	6,375$5,078 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,296.47	258	21.3%55 W · 203 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8de…3111backed France	22c	6,243$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,843	95	15.8%15 W · 80 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed France	40c	6,138$2,455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,682.82	101	28.7%29 W · 72 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Senegal	59c	6,033$3,578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,577.79	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Senegal	61c	5,737$3,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,499.57	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Senegal	61c	5,729$3,495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,494.93	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe00…e985backed France	36c	5,386$1,938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,447.58	179	50.3%90 W · 89 L	+12.9wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d60…006abacked Senegal	60c	5,133$3,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,079.81	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.3wins	-0.33per pick	53cpaid	-67.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked France	40c	5,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe1d…3d76backed France	40c	5,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Senegal	58c	5,000$2,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,900	113	43.4%49 W · 64 L	-8.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked France	39c	5,000$1,962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,038.41	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9896…a925backed Senegal	61c	4,585$2,797 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,796.78	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed France	39c	4,545$1,773 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,772.45	132	59.1%78 W · 54 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2c6…3947backed France	42c	4,524$1,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,623.81	157	22.9%36 W · 121 L	-13.3wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x578e…c3c0backed France	40c	4,439$1,776 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,663.64	89	51.7%46 W · 43 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed France	41c	4,390$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,590.24	79	43%34 W · 45 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Senegal	59c	4,300$2,537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,537.02	73	49.3%36 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed France	2c	4,270$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,184.47	213	14.1%30 W · 183 L	+14.3wins	+0.07per pick	7cpaid	+135.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed France	65c	4,196$2,742 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,453.93	257	53.3%137 W · 120 L	+23.5wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Senegal	60c	4,167$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	125	54.4%68 W · 57 L	-6.8wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed France	41c	4,100$1,681 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,419	363	49.3%179 W · 184 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c09…3fd2backed France	42c	4,090$1,718 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,372.19	27	37%10 W · 17 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Senegal	59c	4,000$2,347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,346.66	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: France (-1.5)this page
France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
France vs. Senegal: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Senegal: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Senegal: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Senegal: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 2.5Over won
France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Over won
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Over won
France vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5Under won
France vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5Under won
France vs. Senegal: Senegal 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Senegal: Senegal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Senegal: Senegal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Senegal: Senegal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: France (-2.5)Senegal won
Spread: Senegal (-1.5)France won
Spread: Senegal (-2.5)France won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: France (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event