TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: France (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Senegalof France, Senegal
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$680,008
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$706,120

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $680,008 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed France20c86,307$17,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,219.871,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed France17c49,408$8,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,371.122,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed France20c22,376$4,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,532.352,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked France16c17,035$2,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,775.163,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Senegal80c15,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed France20c13,852$2,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,769.972,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked France20c11,486$2,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,306.782,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Senegal78c10,258$8,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,256.741,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bbc…a861backed France22c10,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2002623.1%6 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe1d…3d76backed France20c9,587$1,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,917.431127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8de…3111backed France10c7,768$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7509515.8%15 W · 80 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-52.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed France20c7,187$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.088,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed France20c6,250$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2506634.8%23 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fe8…06c9backed France21c6,006$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.2130%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Senegal80c6,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20016258.6%95 W · 67 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Senegal79c6,000$4,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.9922451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Senegal79c5,943$4,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.642,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c09…3fd2backed France21c5,714$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2002737%10 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed France6c4,708$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.14,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked France6c4,677$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.272,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed France22c4,444$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.6832029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Senegal80c4,398$3,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.7371638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…e2b8backed Senegal79c4,279$3,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.676258.1%36 W · 26 L+6.6wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb58…43c2backed Senegal80c3,598$2,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.684040%16 W · 24 L-7.3wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed France21c3,421$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.4124917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed France20c3,400$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.751,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed France16c3,172$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.391,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked France20c3,034$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.992,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Senegal80c3,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60011657.8%67 W · 49 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf30e…9b40backed France9c2,807$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.1530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Senegal79c2,562$2,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.47529.3%22 W · 53 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fa9…7633backed Senegal80c2,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50016825.6%43 W · 125 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed France20c2,478$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013721.2%29 W · 108 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed France21c2,425$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.236349.3%179 W · 184 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed France20c2,412$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.3823036.1%83 W · 147 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Senegal80c2,375$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47512554.4%68 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Senegal79c2,335$1,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.491,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked France9c2,288$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.566846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Senegal80c2,286$1,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.161,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Senegal60c2,180$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88075335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked France8c2,082$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17026716.1%43 W · 224 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed France20c2,050$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41010128.7%29 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Senegal80c2,032$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.372,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Senegal79c2,020$1,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.218465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed France20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40019317.1%33 W · 160 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed France19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.9938526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked France19c1,696$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.3298134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc5a…f064backed France20c1,684$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.7560%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked France1c1,669$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.692,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x845b…5c2dbacked France3c1,667$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505735.1%20 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed France21c1,429$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011851.7%61 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3a8…d7b7backed France19c1,358$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520427.5%56 W · 148 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c2a…267ebacked Senegal80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2505754.4%31 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Senegal80c1,125$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.945080%40 W · 10 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+12.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed France20c1,100$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22014433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b63…bdd3backed France6c1,063$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.775616.1%9 W · 47 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5b…5c95backed France19c1,058$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004035%14 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed45…a84cbacked France18c1,049$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-45.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed France30c1,000$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.146861.8%42 W · 26 L+10.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+37.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x93d4…7345backed Senegal80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd35b…4a53backed France20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007915.2%12 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Senegal79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6c5…6f9cbacked France20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013021.5%28 W · 102 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafe6…8192backed France21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102733.3%9 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-25.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed France50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005060%30 W · 20 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+45.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked France20c999.96$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9964443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed France8c999.95$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8324635.8%88 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked France10c971.48$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.691,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec7f…81a1backed France21c952.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002416.7%4 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked France15c947.29$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.6610160.4%61 W · 40 L+11.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed France50c941.52$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.766765.7%44 W · 23 L+12.4wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+39.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xe3fe…3f4fbacked France20c878.4$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.681435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked France14c863.11$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.5553629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed France14c858.16$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed France20c855.53$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.2734144.3%151 W · 190 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed France24c833.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015650%78 W · 78 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Senegal79c819.53$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.33,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9837…ad59backed France20c800$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16014534.5%50 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked France9c772.45$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.11,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked France10c758.22$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.92,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3bc…2f60backed France13c709$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.012733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked France22c690.1$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.1751032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed France8c686.21$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8110836.1%39 W · 69 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed France10c656.3$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.254,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Senegal79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9114568.3%99 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Senegal80c626.79$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.51,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed France19c621.52$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.091,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb93f…4160backed Senegal79c569.62$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.629662.5%60 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc435…1923backed Senegal80c562.5$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.56572.3%47 W · 18 L+7.5wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+14.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Senegal79c560.79$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.776953.6%37 W · 32 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed France19c553$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4465835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked France3c546$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7658642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed France9c540.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012140.5%49 W · 72 L-0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x545f…bedebacked Senegal80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10011430.7%35 W · 79 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d9c…cf78backed France20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001450%7 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+42.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cd7…7842backed France20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018436.4%67 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bda…ac9bbacked France20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004621.7%10 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c04…7dcabacked Senegal80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004542.2%19 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-40.6%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x44d5…dafabacked France20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100229.1%2 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick19cpaid-66%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Senegal50c479.76$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.8827255.9%152 W · 120 L+36.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+49.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.