TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Senegal (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Franceof Senegal, France
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$204,183
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$200,904

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,183 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Senegal1c40,237$254 inLost-$254.444,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Senegal3c14,337$479 inLost-$479.098,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Senegal3c11,532$398 inLost-$398.013,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Senegal4c10,028$366 inLost-$365.6334247.7%163 W · 179 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Senegal4c5,589$210 inLost-$209.823,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Senegal5c5,557$285 inLost-$284.564,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Senegal4c5,527$200 inLost-$200.191,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Senegal4c4,486$191 inLost-$191.2984738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Senegal3c4,386$145 inLost-$144.7421333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Senegal4c3,045$110 inLost-$1103067.8%24 W · 282 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Senegal4c3,005$105 inLost-$105.191,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Senegal4c2,770$115 inLost-$114.9215932.7%52 W · 107 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Senegal3c2,424$75 inLost-$75.1451315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Senegal4c2,326$82 inLost-$81.852,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Senegal3c2,191$73 inLost-$73.3595037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Senegal3c1,585$48 inLost-$47.832,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d6e…4018backed Senegal3c1,432$50 inLost-$509114.3%13 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Senegal4c1,241$47 inLost-$47.222,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed9a…0b20backed Senegal5c1,000$52 inLost-$52.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfa6…bfd5backed Senegal4c972.22$35 inLost-$351739.2%16 W · 157 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Senegal4c894.87$38 inLost-$37.582,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Senegal3c846.84$29 inLost-$29.4692038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed Senegal4c675.68$25 inLost-$2517322.5%39 W · 134 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0684…87a3backed Senegal3c606.06$20 inLost-$2017231.4%54 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Senegal3c606.06$20 inLost-$2026716.1%43 W · 224 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f82…c446backed Senegal5c590.61$30 inLost-$304062.5%25 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+29.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Senegal4c569.62$22 inLost-$22.22,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71eb…4c2dbacked Senegal4c416.67$15 inLost-$1510147.5%48 W · 53 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+7.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Senegal4c400$15 inLost-$15.218911.1%21 W · 168 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f17…c1dbbacked Senegal5c400$20 inLost-$202888%23 W · 265 L-1.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x381d…fedebacked Senegal4c390.22$18 inLost-$17.534316.3%7 W · 36 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea9…e14ebacked Senegal4c379.75$15 inLost-$15.19520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb379…2ed2backed Senegal4c375$15 inLost-$1510834.3%37 W · 71 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Senegal4c363.16$13 inLost-$13.213140.5%53 W · 78 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Senegal4c305$11 inLost-$11.298932.6%29 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcd5…210ebacked Senegal4c250$10 inLost-$1090%0 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Senegal5c200$10 inLost-$10.428326.5%75 W · 208 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.