TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$210,445
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$257,766

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,445 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Over58c42,069$24,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,568.7219644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under41c25,125$10,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,301.3116331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under42c14,594$6,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,132.283,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Under43c12,340$5,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,306.349551.6%49 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over60c7,483$4,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,001.4927345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c7,130$3,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,642.94,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under42c6,175$2,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,605.271,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under43c5,359$2,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,277.782,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd344…6862backed Under42c5,238$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2003537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Over57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1502317.4%4 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-56.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under75c4,984$3,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,731.022,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Under17c4,345$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.0214856.8%84 W · 64 L+20.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+59.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under54c4,169$2,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,252.544,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Over58c4,129$2,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,748.685959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under43c2,993$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.682,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f90…90ccbacked Over57c2,281$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.72850%14 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under42c2,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.991,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Under44c2,000$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.9611243.8%49 W · 63 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over49c2,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.8543248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over79c1,900$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.671,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over33c1,900$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.293,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over56c1,306$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.298652.3%45 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over57c1,235$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.743,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over19c1,075$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.332,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe043…b415backed Over57c1,056$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.231258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under43c1,048$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.21,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under47c999.98$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.9964443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71d2…4be6backed Under48c999.64$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.8310259.8%61 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked Under72c999$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.2812432.3%40 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eaa…38cbbacked Over30c966.7$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.69450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+45.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Over51c931.37$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.3717241.3%71 W · 101 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over55c736.42$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.982,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8804…a3a7backed Under41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002119%4 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-47.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Over56c680$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.210855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over61c661.66$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.445356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ea7…7fc0backed Under43c611.75$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.054946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb87…3d70backed Over57c561.4$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.44242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x789f…3e7dbacked Under43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21514745.6%67 W · 80 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Over64c468.91$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.9117751.4%91 W · 86 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Over78c466$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9812266.4%81 W · 41 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Over57c450$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.514246.5%66 W · 76 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Over56c397.19$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.3716655.4%92 W · 74 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3504…d4f1backed Over56c375$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16512556.8%71 W · 54 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe092…e1c7backed Over13c369.23$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.23450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+129.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa96c…87e5backed Over56c360.33$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.78666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under62c360.32$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.014,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45b5…c5a8backed Under43c350.99$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.932462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+34.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf353…692abacked Over58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.833063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Over59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9811443.9%50 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over57c337.27$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.0310562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57e1…c97fbacked Over57c326.32$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.327655.3%42 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under43c312.48$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.81,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under44c299.99$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.31,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5ef…7761backed Over35c288.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.214654.3%25 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under43c286.95$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.541,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under32c285.97$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.212,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under30c279$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.772,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under43c278.56$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.481,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under45c277.78$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520841.3%86 W · 122 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Over12c264.62$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.8736437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over31c257$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.791,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d38…3bd9backed Over55c252.52$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.527342.5%31 W · 42 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6844…7633backed Over43c241.56$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.697953.2%42 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc959…c37fbacked Under44c229.13$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10136023.6%85 W · 275 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Under41c228.69$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.762540%10 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Over49c227.92$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6622560.4%136 W · 89 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over78c214.16$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.32,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Under47c211.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013847.1%65 W · 73 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over58c208.83$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under43c199.96$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.981,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Over54c199.91$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9616656.6%94 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Under45c194.98$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3936838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bad…1e9ebacked Over57c192.98$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9812451.6%64 W · 60 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b86…ff5bbacked Over34c176.48$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.485556.4%31 W · 24 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ab1…54e1backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.446921.7%15 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-34.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x627b…285bbacked Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4412844.5%57 W · 71 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under49c166.9$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.741,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under41c166.36$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.281,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x760b…6dc8backed Under61c159.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9110252.9%54 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ae4…83dfbacked Over57c156.67$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.373751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over53c156.11$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.498,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under41c152.77$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.572,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfdc…0c65backed Over43c136.19$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.63955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4361…37f6backed Under45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65af…df77backed Under76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008551.8%44 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3662…0e48backed Over58c129.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3112654%68 W · 58 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under72c128$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5441444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over32c125$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857347.9%35 W · 38 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Over56c124.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5553436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over38c122.25$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6647744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d34…49d8backed Under12c120.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.88540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ea8…0491backed Under42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.43237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd2f…4270backed Over54c119.76$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.764250%21 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4208…a0c2backed Over70c111$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.532665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdce6…6069backed Over62c104.84$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.843743.2%16 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdde4…7bfdbacked Under50c102$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-59.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe86…ec62backed Over59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6912257.4%70 W · 52 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc286…a091backed Over79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2114100%14 W · 0 L+4.8wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+66.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4514750.3%74 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd697…def2backed Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.349348.4%45 W · 48 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.