Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Senegal: France 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x009b702d753c10fa455019043ba7726294731efd4a398de7ea9467c58ea8c668
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 4,279$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.87 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…77abbacked Over | 62c | 2,005$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.97 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 63c | 1,978$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.67 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 64c | 1,293$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.9 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 40c | 611.24$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.1 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under | 40c | 606.98$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.19 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Under | 37c | 552.76$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.01 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 39c | 529$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.59 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 36c | 523.85$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.27 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4911…7ba8backed Over | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…0eb3backed Over | 49c | 348.23$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.1 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…3555backed Over | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 368 | 38.6%142 W · 226 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 38c | 219.13$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.91 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x845b…5c2dbacked Over | 64c | 218.75$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5068…13a1backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…258abacked Over | 48c | 199.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.93 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f2…e64ebacked Over | 62c | 193.55$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…cf69backed Over | 63c | 157.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 277 | 42.2%117 W · 160 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 36c | 149.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 38c | 136.22$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.84 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…dbd2backed Over | 61c | 128.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.35 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda89…0ed5backed Over | 63c | 127.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccf…0c6ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 38c | 95.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b5…5676backed Over | 64c | 93.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…959fbacked Over | 61c | 91.8$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed Over | 61c | 80.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee8…07c4backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 77.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Under | 38c | 70.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 64c | 62.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad9…b3afbacked Under | 47c | 57.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb7…0ed4backed Over | 62c | 56.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d396backed Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 39c | 51.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 35c | 51.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 38c | 50.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 38c | 50.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 322 | 54%174 W · 148 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…9182backed Over | 64c | 48.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef0f…9bfabacked Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Over | 63c | 39.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 49c | 36.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 209 | 68.4%143 W · 66 L | +21.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d09…ea9dbacked Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b20…de61backed Under | 39c | 28.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 42c | 26.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a6…42debacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…760fbacked Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…656abacked Over | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Senegal: France 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- France vs. Senegal: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Senegal: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: France O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: France O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: France O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5Under won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5Under won
- France vs. Senegal: Senegal 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Senegal: Senegal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Senegal: Senegal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: Senegal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: France (-1.5)France won
- Spread: France (-2.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-1.5)France won
- Spread: Senegal (-2.5)France won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.