Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c8535d38d6684fdfde3d734bccb8aeb396f0445384f6465e4f3c48134b33c02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 19c | 5,283$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.31 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 18c | 4,899$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.07 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…3e89backed Yes | 19c | 1,540$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.57 | 112 | 19.6%22 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…2b5ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,268$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 17c | 1,262$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.94 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 17c | 1,083$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.35 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6347…4390backed Yes | 18c | 1,010$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.7 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2618…aecfbacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 18c | 678.75$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.98 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 15c | 670$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…bb92backed Yes | 5c | 599.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…5816backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 368 | 38.6%142 W · 226 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 80c | 480.45$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.09 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb157…f7cebacked Yes | 19c | 473.68$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…9e46backed Yes | 19c | 421.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes | 14c | 419.4$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…ab9abacked Yes | 19c | 368.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfe…6edabacked Yes | 18c | 332.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…d384backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…4453backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c64…75afbacked Yes | 6c | 252.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c9…6410backed Yes | 19c | 252$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0931…e78ebacked Yes | 19c | 236.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e5…b161backed Yes | 13c | 227.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…8656backed Yes | 20c | 224.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0f…e49cbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed Yes | 19c | 189.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98da…a9ebbacked Yes | 19c | 168.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…fdffbacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 189 | 36%68 W · 121 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Yes | 19c | 152.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf945…b603backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bf…e557backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6110…5d2ebacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…4b94backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb5…63c4backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…ae45backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 251 | 15.5%39 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b91…fb9dbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702a…26f9backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…43ddbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 22.4%22 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 222 | 42.3%94 W · 128 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1135…3128backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec53…3f16backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d6…bb8bbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 76c | 101.63$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…3a47backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfd…a57ebacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a7…7349backed Yes | 19c | 82.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e4…5d21backed Yes | 19c | 73.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf9…aedebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5013…17eabacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 76c | 34.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- France vs. Senegal: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Senegal: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Senegal: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: France O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: France O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: France O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5Under won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5Under won
- France vs. Senegal: Senegal 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Senegal: Senegal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Senegal: Senegal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: Senegal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: France (-1.5)France won
- Spread: France (-2.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-1.5)France won
- Spread: Senegal (-2.5)France won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.