France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50dd8516a2546db9b4a618d09dbb9ead2ee0a1cff46ba1fa2890db936e5c3a8f

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $91,683
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $98,722

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,683 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb86b…aabfbacked Over	3c	18,027$539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.32	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	50c	6,454$3,227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,227.31	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Under	42c	6,005$2,514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,490.63	148	56.8%84 W · 64 L	+20.7wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+59.5%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	8c	4,345$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.23	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69a1…22b8backed Over	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+4.7wins	+0.17per pick	46cpaid	+47.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Under	80c	3,500$2,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$700	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.13per pick	76cpaid	+18%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Over	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	114	48.2%55 W · 59 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9264…5453backed Over	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+83.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x742d…020dbacked Over	20c	2,771$554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.14	30	20%6 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	15c	2,261$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.75	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	70c	2,248$1,579 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$668.97	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	20c	1,628$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.36	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	79c	1,491$1,184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$307.05	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebeb…47b3backed Over	20c	1,477$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.26	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	17cpaid	-76.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Over	23c	1,270$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.05	64	32.8%21 W · 43 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over	37c	1,157$429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428.92	594	53.4%317 W · 277 L	+43.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Over	30c	1,111$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.33	419	68.3%286 W · 133 L	+65.4wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Under	14c	1,063$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$914.17	135	52.6%71 W · 64 L	+25.9wins	+0.19per pick	33cpaid	+129%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x9c84…ac9abacked Under	80c	999.99$795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+2.9wins	+0.16per pick	56cpaid	+35%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe69d…dfa0backed Over	51c	980.39$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under	22c	860$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$668.74	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab1…9678backed Under	78c	700$546 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154	60	70%42 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	70cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0643…8eccbacked Under	76c	659.6$501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.8	6	100%6 W · 0 L	+3.5wins	+0.59per pick	41cpaid	+236%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	20c	644.91$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.46	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under	80c	581.67$465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.33	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under	80c	500.1$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.02	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6898…19d4backed Over	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	19c	456.56$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.75	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70a1…2105backed Over	11c	454.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+65.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Over	20c	452.18$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.06	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over	44c	451.34$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.42	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Over	18c	422.11$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.98	207	24.6%51 W · 156 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8372…d2d4backed Under	79c	402.43$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.51	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.7wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+56.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Over	10c	400.81$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.98	271	54.6%148 W · 123 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	19c	355.14$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.69	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over	64c	332.01$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.83	586	42.8%251 W · 335 L	+17.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a83…f2edbacked Over	19c	268.42$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	85	27.1%23 W · 62 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over	72c	219.44$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158	226	43.4%98 W · 128 L	-12.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcca9…af95backed Under	9c	207.58$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.91	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	+3.4wins	+0.12per pick	12cpaid	+155.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Over	20c	200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	352	29.3%103 W · 249 L	+14.0wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44b5…11a3backed Over	51c	192.71$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.28	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-37%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	19c	188.6$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.83	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over	20c	181.84$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.13	984	39.2%386 W · 598 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28e2…d3abbacked Over	59c	169.48$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	172	18.6%32 W · 140 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c26…1d30backed Over	51c	169$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.19	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	6c	168.05$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.32	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4208…a0c2backed Over	63c	156$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.79	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x258b…eb44backed Over	31c	144$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x310d…4b75backed Over	11c	136.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	59	22%13 W · 46 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3676…61bebacked Under	41c	130$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.7	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.59per pick	41cpaid	+143.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6123…8b33backed Under	80c	125$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	-6.8wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	73c	124$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.27	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Over	26c	120$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	283	26.5%75 W · 208 L	-12.1wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	60c	119.69$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.13	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x414c…80c7backed Under	80c	110.06$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.01	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over	11c	107.87$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.73	950	37.5%356 W · 594 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92f6…3784backed Under	79c	101.27$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.27	62	58.1%36 W · 26 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	189	11.1%21 W · 168 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec2f…43a2backed Under	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.7wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d91…f6dabacked Over	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	136	33.1%45 W · 91 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+12%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9d1…6194backed Over	51c	98.03$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	200	56%112 W · 88 L	+12.9wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa683…6692backed Over	51c	96.15$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.04	143	51.7%74 W · 69 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90d1…2cf6backed Over	51c	96.15$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.04	50	40%20 W · 30 L	-6.2wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x14b9…f378backed Over	17c	93.98$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.98	69	29%20 W · 49 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under	79c	91.14$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.14	165	56.4%93 W · 72 L	-17.5wins	-0.11per pick	67cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8c80…6f38backed Over	18c	83.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	105	40%42 W · 63 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under	79c	83.13$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.24	1,204	48.9%589 W · 615 L	+18.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under	69c	80$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.8	414	44.9%186 W · 228 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfbe…ccebbacked Over	21c	71.43$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b2…4cebbacked Over	21c	71.14$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.94	75	24%18 W · 57 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91d5…0cefbacked Over	24c	62.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Over	21c	52.38$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	120	28.3%34 W · 86 L	-10.0wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd641…0635backed Over	20c	51$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	96	51%49 W · 47 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Under	41c	51$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.9	275	54.5%150 W · 125 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d34…49d8backed Under	50c	50.56$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.28	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Over	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	126	48.4%61 W · 65 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ca…35f7backed Under	41c	39.02$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.02	24	70.8%17 W · 7 L	+6.6wins	+0.28per pick	43cpaid	+65.7%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x39b2…9460backed Over	54c	18.52$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	356	19.4%69 W · 287 L	-21.4wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b40…a2bcbacked Under	80c	17.5$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.5	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Under	80c	15$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3	548	59.5%326 W · 222 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under	80c	14$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.8	397	46.3%184 W · 213 L	-28.9wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5this page
France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
France vs. Senegal: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Senegal: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Senegal: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Senegal: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 2.5Over won
France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Over won
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Over won
France vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5Under won
France vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5Under won
France vs. Senegal: Senegal 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Senegal: Senegal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Senegal: Senegal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Senegal: Senegal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: France (-1.5)France won
Spread: France (-2.5)Senegal won
Spread: Senegal (-1.5)France won
Spread: Senegal (-2.5)France won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event