TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xec2f…43a2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Music, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Music at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$118.97
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$122.16
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$17.39
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+107.9%+$147.9
Will Red Bull Racing finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12.86
Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+244.8%+$34.08
Will Ferrari finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20.64
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+37%+$8.1
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+28.4%+$6.63
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+525%+$87.03
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.6
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.9
Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+300%+$75
F1 Azerbaijan GP: Piastri vs. Norrisbacked Piastri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$102
F1 Azerbaijan GP: Leclerc vs. Verstappenbacked Verstappen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$45
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Matheus Cunha: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Erling Haaland: 3+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.35
Raphinha: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.8
Paul Izzo: 4+ savesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$137.99
Owen Goodman: 2+ savesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+101.8%+$329.88
Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.84
Martin Zlomislić: 4+ savesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+110.4%+$336.84
Luis Mejía: 4+ savesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$290.44
Luis Mejía: 3+ savesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,270Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$666.58
France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.8
Spread: Mexico (-2.5)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-59.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+49.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-47.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-67.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+83.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+44.9%+$18.6
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+121.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+121.3%+$166.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mets vs. Tigersbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.