TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$142,199
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,793

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,199 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under57c41,269$23,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,693.913,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c25,863$13,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,396.294,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over43c24,979$10,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,237.9453448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Over43c16,506$7,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,408.689551.6%49 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over43c11,904$5,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,829.171,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4608…d049backed Over42c10,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,799.968458.3%49 W · 35 L+9.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under57c7,436$4,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,235.682,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over43c6,718$2,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,829.262,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over43c4,000$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,28035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under58c3,082$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80036247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a23…4454backed Over44c2,283$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.072259.1%13 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick40cpaid+27.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over75c2,068$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.7559453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under46c1,915$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.582,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ec…0959backed Under9c1,863$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.631250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over42c1,481$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.562,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under57c1,430$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.361,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under57c1,366$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.71,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under57c1,163$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.864,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over42c1,000$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58547127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under59c996.93$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.1970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over43c933$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.812,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over73c809.92$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.242,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under60c779.43$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.6661750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53a1…b1b0backed Under58c775.86$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45017959.2%106 W · 73 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under60c727.55$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.973,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under51c710$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.245038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under22c680.82$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.478,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over62c645.16$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.1611645.7%53 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under30c607.46$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.094,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cb…ad46backed Over41c576.73$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.272842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over43c572.7$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.4410832.4%35 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Over40c501$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.636838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28069534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Under59c499.99$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.9933555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Over41c485.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.8214235.2%50 W · 92 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bf6…d1b3backed Over41c463.41$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.414940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under56c446$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.762,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under56c446$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.762,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Over44c430.17$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.5936350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under23c376.21$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.42,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Over42c357.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.1430142.5%128 W · 173 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3409…667abacked Under56c344.93$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.062920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over44c334.93$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.563,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under57c333.33$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x944f…0da6backed Over67c299.52$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.5213862.3%86 W · 52 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under8c293.55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.342,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under57c275.29$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.753,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under57c268.85$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.023,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Over41c255.22$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.584772.3%34 W · 13 L+12.7wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+107.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under59c250$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.671,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over61c248$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.891,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfb8…d90abacked Under4c243.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.910435.6%37 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under57c236.6$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.111,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f72…996fbacked Over45c222.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.3540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under59c217.64$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.411,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under8c211.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9148937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over42c199.99$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.991,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x75e7…c4fcbacked Over44c186.36$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.368032.5%26 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Over44c179.55$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.559349.5%46 W · 47 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaebb…c29abacked Over60c164.32$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.732850%14 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7769…89c9backed Under61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010539%41 W · 64 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+41.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over43c160$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.682348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over43c160$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.61,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under60c132.5$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.532855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8b…ebe0backed Over43c130.09$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.154542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec2f…43a2backed Under55c128$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.841361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaec8…c5d4backed Over40c122.2$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.329036.7%33 W · 57 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5380…9592backed Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6433847.9%162 W · 176 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98d0…f14abacked Under61c112.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.923551.4%18 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8192…e1b9backed Over44c111$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1610135.6%36 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Over61c110.03$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.919635.4%34 W · 62 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under60c107.92$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.752,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under49c107.5$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9995037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e35…3655backed Over42c107.14$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.146123%14 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1b2…26bebacked Under38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-71%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd841…64cabacked Over41c102.9$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.98461.9%52 W · 32 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ee5…5e7dbacked Under61c101.64$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6216366.3%108 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb92…68a4backed Under25c100.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254418.2%8 W · 36 L-5.5wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-59.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Under60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012852.3%67 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Over42c99.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5857252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over42c95.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2452217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over60c93.98$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2534056.5%192 W · 148 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa37b…63a1backed Over43c93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.012951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Under15c86.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1418431.5%58 W · 126 L-19.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Over47c84.19$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6229636.1%107 W · 189 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9a…0cd4backed Under16c82.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5111537.4%43 W · 72 L-10.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Over44c77.41$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3525646.5%119 W · 137 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…df38backed Over40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4514248.6%69 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under57c74$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1833443.4%145 W · 189 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under57c73.41$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8447546.1%219 W · 256 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under56c73.19$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.041,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under57c72.76$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.753,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Over44c70$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.253436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over44c69.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3958029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0042…2246backed Under60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404355.8%24 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Over43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.225639.1%100 W · 156 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Over40c60$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3614750.3%74 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd38c…371ebacked Over42c59.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5220133.8%68 W · 133 L+14.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under22c55.12$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.321,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb2…71a2backed Over42c54.76$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.767243.1%31 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.