TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Canada (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Canadaof Canada, Qatar
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$712,556
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$773,585

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $712,556 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Qatar56c139,431$77,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,873.614,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Canada72c111,970$80,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,868.9214542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Canada57c108,000$61,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,679.5938734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Qatar50c100,945$50,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,494.6217550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2862…5586backed Canada14c60,001$8,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,476.793237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Canada48c53,115$25,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,446.082,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Canada63c39,905$25,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,727.873,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Qatar22c31,923$6,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,992.2851859.8%310 W · 208 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Qatar25c19,676$4,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,934.1977845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Qatar29c18,418$5,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,256.332,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Canada14c14,500$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,47027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Canada47c13,792$6,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,323.1925753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed Qatar23c7,794$1,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,808.0510137.6%38 W · 63 L+14.5wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+45.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Canada62c6,398$3,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,443.1229030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3587…23adbacked Qatar76c6,163$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7005050%25 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…9a67backed Qatar56c6,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3601942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Canada14c5,992$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,153.111,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Canada52c4,750$2,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,260.4720856.7%118 W · 90 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Qatar35c4,443$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.632029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Qatar3c4,365$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.9521314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Qatar80c4,200$3,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,35213548.9%66 W · 69 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Qatar33c4,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3205959.3%35 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfeee…20fbbacked Qatar15c3,986$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.892445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3092…4aa9backed Canada65c3,477$2,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.017959.5%47 W · 32 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x90d4…2deebacked Qatar21c3,216$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.667630.3%23 W · 53 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ede…4284backed Qatar9c3,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27018738%71 W · 116 L+0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked Canada67c2,963$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.7112536.8%46 W · 79 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Qatar23c2,865$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.2420253.5%108 W · 94 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Canada45c2,668$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.8410160.4%61 W · 40 L+11.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc2f2…0ff7backed Qatar45c2,080$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9369247.8%44 W · 48 L+18.5wins+0.20per pick28cpaid+50.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Qatar13c1,970$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9970948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Qatar49c1,800$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8736144.3%27 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Canada14c1,500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,29010518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Canada55c1,485$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.7918056.1%101 W · 79 L+14.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Canada26c1,433$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.991,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Qatar23c1,350$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.642,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Canada63c1,152$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.5826459.5%157 W · 107 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Canada47c1,077$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.8736234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Canada48c1,051$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.2853629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Qatar6c1,050$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Qatar15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022835.5%81 W · 147 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Canada63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37011044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Canada66c999.99$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34033149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Canada25c999.98$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.9914234.5%49 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb17c…d2eabacked Qatar1c992.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10234.3%1 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick17cpaid-84.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Canada14c915.59$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.481,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Qatar21c888$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.866098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Qatar44c872.18$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.7628526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Qatar3c856.34$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7143230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x960f…4f36backed Canada50c852.94$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.476556.9%37 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Qatar26c780.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9916655.4%92 W · 74 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Canada48c765.91$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.9124242.6%103 W · 139 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Canada15c700$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59514440.3%58 W · 86 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46b1…428cbacked Qatar3c700$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…0566backed Qatar45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2703357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed Qatar76c589.04$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.98859.1%52 W · 36 L-11.8wins-0.13per pick72cpaid-17.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked Canada47c568.91$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30318765.2%122 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x146a…9cedbacked Canada53c565.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.35042%21 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+33.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Canada65c535.35$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.922,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Canada24c530.59$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.2585851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Canada53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.16354%34 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Qatar15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754829.2%14 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Canada14c429.76$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.753,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Canada14c428.57$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.5714235.2%50 W · 92 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Canada14c400.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3441,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Qatar60c390$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.3933443.4%145 W · 189 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Canada62c372.72$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.721,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Canada14c369.92$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.691,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x374e…87c9backed Canada54c367.07$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.0718550.3%93 W · 92 L+12.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+26.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x305e…b28bbacked Canada14c363.29$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.4326133.3%87 W · 174 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Canada14c357.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.1426716.1%43 W · 224 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Qatar79c337.84$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.7517568.6%120 W · 55 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick74cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9852…111abacked Canada67c337.31$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.313956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Canada44c317.16$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.6183153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5690…7a58backed Qatar27c312.39$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.418731%27 W · 60 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Canada26c300$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22210136.6%37 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf85b…48b9backed Qatar34c294.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006936.2%25 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3443…64e9backed Canada69c289.04$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.67783.1%64 W · 13 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick76cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0431…3dd8backed Canada68c288.18$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95c8…3469backed Qatar35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009733%32 W · 65 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Canada14c285.71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.7116637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Canada56c249.25$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.5747744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce1…77dbbacked Qatar14c235.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a68…ad4cbacked Canada45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.224119.5%8 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-32.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Canada45c220$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12122551.6%116 W · 109 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Qatar34c215.78$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5218433.7%62 W · 122 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Canada69c213.05$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9520646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1101…dfd5backed Qatar31c213$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1927732.5%90 W · 187 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Qatar12c204.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.241,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac5a…1ac8backed Qatar27c201.13$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.278231.7%26 W · 56 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+42%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f17…b55dbacked Qatar13c199.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2612145.5%55 W · 66 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+26.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Canada15c197.53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.927445.3%124 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8981…ce82backed Qatar69c190$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.89830.6%30 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ed5…20f1backed Qatar16c188.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.585448.1%26 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Canada14c187.49$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.2492038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3d7…4713backed Canada66c182.83$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.839454.3%51 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d6e…4018backed Qatar40c170.81$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.569114.3%13 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Qatar8c169.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8839039%152 W · 238 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e47…b3d0backed Canada15c166.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.6720819.7%41 W · 167 L+0.3wins0.00per pick20cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed Canada68c164.93$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.939055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.