TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Canada (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Canadaof Canada, Qatar
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$955,997
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,120,656

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $955,997 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 303 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Canada33c157,811$52,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105,311.119644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Canada32c139,250$44,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95,173.3822348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Qatar65c90,655$58,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,833.64,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Qatar64c81,574$52,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,065.1277152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2862…5586backed Canada29c50,008$14,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,303.753237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Qatar62c44,352$27,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,306.5517748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Qatar69c41,299$28,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,411.743,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Qatar42c29,015$12,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,309.632,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Qatar59c23,824$14,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,138.651,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Canada32c13,000$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,839.9627345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Canada32c12,866$4,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,748.9322229.7%66 W · 156 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Qatar19c10,487$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.848,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Qatar68c8,921$6,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,070.411,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Qatar68c8,807$5,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,990.361,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Qatar3c7,768$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.3478317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3587…23adbacked Qatar53c7,606$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0005050%25 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Canada31c7,500$2,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1751,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Qatar6c6,766$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.3520646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Qatar70c6,273$4,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,360.041,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Qatar68c6,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,08022451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Canada29c5,718$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,059.781,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Qatar69c5,584$3,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,833.8911952.9%63 W · 56 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Qatar70c5,213$3,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,658.742,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Qatar71c4,759$3,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,380.011,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Canada47c4,500$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,369.132,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Qatar67c4,011$2,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,687.611,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Canada31c4,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,76035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Canada32c3,889$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,647.162,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Canada30c3,467$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,428.052,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…9a67backed Qatar68c3,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.951942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ede…4284backed Qatar12c2,999$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9218738%71 W · 116 L+0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Qatar35c2,502$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.551032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Canada32c2,500$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7006847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Qatar6c2,344$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.2158530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Qatar49c2,177$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.2928526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Qatar3c2,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5039932.6%130 W · 269 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Qatar71c2,000$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.9964443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d87…a82bbacked Canada50c1,802$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.241163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Canada60c1,765$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.5734964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Qatar70c1,715$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.777153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Qatar68c1,680$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.41,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Canada31c1,619$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.2774447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x860d…5648backed Canada43c1,510$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.4214244.4%63 W · 79 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4d…20ccbacked Qatar4c1,500$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.92837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Qatar71c1,500$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06516139.8%64 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Qatar71c1,408$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010356.3%58 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6370…e2f4backed Qatar71c1,408$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-53%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Qatar7c1,348$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6721314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Qatar27c1,332$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.7629449%144 W · 150 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Canada32c1,305$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.332,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Qatar71c1,293$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.051,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Qatar4c1,211$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7478234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Qatar14c1,129$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.3829030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Qatar68c1,119$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.21,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Qatar38c1,118$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.32,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d35…06b5backed Qatar70c1,100$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77010251%52 W · 50 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Qatar70c1,100$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.9937451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Qatar12c1,045$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.132,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Canada30c1,033$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.3310160.4%61 W · 40 L+11.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Qatar18c1,028$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.8721143.1%91 W · 120 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160a…c68cbacked Canada49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.413046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Canada31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69014440.3%58 W · 86 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda16…ac2bbacked Canada47c999.98$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.994153.7%22 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+32.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Qatar48c960.85$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.251,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68c1…caf8backed Canada29c889.59$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.614526.7%12 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Qatar69c879.66$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.833,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa054…07c2backed Canada49c879.22$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.982437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Canada69c872.1$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.282,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed Qatar71c861.96$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.9910757%61 W · 46 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Qatar12c857$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.812036.7%44 W · 76 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Canada29c849.31$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.0129250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eab…4822backed Canada49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.3313447.8%64 W · 70 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3092…4aa9backed Qatar70c807.14$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5657959.5%47 W · 32 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Canada55c774.96$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.7341968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Qatar35c764.17$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.4898134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Qatar56c740.15$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.192,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Qatar69c728.84$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.141,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95c8…3469backed Qatar13c692.31$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909733%32 W · 65 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Qatar13c673.08$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.818056.1%101 W · 79 L+14.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Canada30c649.98$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.581,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62e0…32dfbacked Canada31c645.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.1617345.1%78 W · 95 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ca9…bbcdbacked Qatar69c643.48$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44412249.2%60 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb93f…4160backed Qatar70c642.86$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4509662.5%60 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Qatar13c632.51$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1118433.7%62 W · 122 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Canada32c625$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4257424.3%18 W · 56 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+33.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38f8…6c6abacked Qatar4c592.78$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.342045%9 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Canada72c588.73$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.881,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd06…f0c1backed Canada54c558.05$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.0511748.7%57 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Qatar66c545.38$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.728651.2%44 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Canada29c534.48$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.4816637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Canada66c530.81$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.971,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2761…e7a2backed Canada29c530.29$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Qatar70c529.14$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.1392038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Qatar7c523.08$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383067.8%24 W · 282 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Canada29c520$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.226216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Canada31c509.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.1282348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Qatar70c507.14$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3558139.5%32 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Qatar69c501$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.523,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Canada32c480.25$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.5719935.2%70 W · 129 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce1c…e3ffbacked Canada30c467$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.