TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Canada (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Canadaof Canada, Qatar
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$142,538
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,729

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,538 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Qatar28c22,262$6,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,235.924,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Canada62c15,000$9,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,70012536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Qatar4c12,245$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.2929030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…9a67backed Qatar35c10,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.991942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Canada65c6,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10022229.7%66 W · 156 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Canada63c5,621$3,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.953448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Qatar3c4,598$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.6121314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Qatar8c4,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34039932.6%130 W · 269 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Canada65c3,097$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.464774.5%35 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Canada66c2,895$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.6120646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x819b…d996backed Qatar37c2,703$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014546.9%68 W · 77 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x203d…2b2cbacked Qatar42c2,220$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9436526.2%17 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Canada65c1,684$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.4210160.4%61 W · 40 L+11.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Qatar25c1,674$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.2783153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Canada5c1,589$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.244,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Canada66c1,523$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.0412334.1%42 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd958…f864backed Qatar36c1,405$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.613815.8%6 W · 32 L-5.7wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-55.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Canada74c1,397$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.336437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5706…bd5abacked Canada7c1,356$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.811010%1 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick14cpaid+42.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Canada6c1,325$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.526216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46b1…428cbacked Qatar3c1,250$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Qatar21c1,157$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.3318056.1%101 W · 79 L+14.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Qatar2c1,053$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203067.8%24 W · 282 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x744c…e37fbacked Qatar39c999.3$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.734035%14 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Canada63c884.99$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.4516050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Canada70c699.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21011044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Canada62c669.29$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.3321937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Canada6c666.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.6726716.1%43 W · 224 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Canada60c665.29$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.822,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Canada71c639.65$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.4720253.5%108 W · 94 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2193…e6cabacked Qatar30c620.27$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.959929.3%29 W · 70 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Canada65c616.87$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.8765948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Canada65c600$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2108731%27 W · 60 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked Qatar23c577.7$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.4518765.2%122 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked Qatar34c564.71$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19210340.8%42 W · 61 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4882…6207backed Qatar36c519.42$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.99911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick38cpaid-77.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Qatar30c512.06$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.231,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Canada68c490.93$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.3825753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Canada60c480$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19210245.1%46 W · 56 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x627b…285bbacked Canada7c428.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.5712844.5%57 W · 71 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Qatar25c418.27$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.632,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x281f…3e7ebacked Qatar24c417.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004219%8 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-47.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Qatar23c365.18$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9963745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Qatar22c363.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.382,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Canada65c347.91$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.772,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0c3…0230backed Qatar28c336.21$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.422937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd4c…b237backed Canada44c301.18$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.663452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Canada57c290.35$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.8545038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc67e…ed46backed Qatar74c271.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010347.6%49 W · 54 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Qatar29c263.65$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.41,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaecc…5910backed Qatar23c262.15$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54da…1facbacked Canada78c257.79$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.815341.8%64 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e34…625dbacked Qatar40c250.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007714.3%11 W · 66 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa68…8d45backed Qatar31c248.71$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775927.1%16 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Canada69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6256151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd697…def2backed Canada63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749348.4%45 W · 48 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x43ac…ef04backed Canada65c192.31$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.318541.2%35 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e88…df66backed Qatar27c182.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011029.1%32 W · 78 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5960…6d42backed Canada73c178$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8218548.1%89 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…0201backed Canada65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.853562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Canada65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8545445.4%206 W · 248 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bbb…dc38backed Canada65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb6…96d1backed Canada69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.933363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Canada64c144.13$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0426459.5%157 W · 107 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd054…c6bebacked Qatar13c139.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2412252.5%64 W · 58 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6785…98c3backed Qatar43c120.93$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525721.1%12 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Qatar35c108.57$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Qatar57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5724635.8%88 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Qatar38c98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2433443.4%145 W · 189 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Canada62c95.24$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1925251.2%129 W · 123 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x092f…d9fdbacked Qatar74c92.03$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6818553%98 W · 87 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa495…5a6cbacked Qatar58c89.83$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Canada64c85.86$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9136350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked Canada65c85.68$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9921146.9%99 W · 112 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Qatar18c82.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.651,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Qatar35c81.31$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.532,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1101…dfd5backed Qatar52c79.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5927732.5%90 W · 187 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef34…1d61backed Qatar50c79.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5913262.9%83 W · 49 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d1f…48a4backed Qatar68c79.76$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.465959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc580…371ebacked Canada65c77.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.04683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Qatar40c67.56$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.331,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabbc…04a3backed Qatar28c64.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Qatar28c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.932959.6%196 W · 133 L+21.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x282f…3c26backed Canada60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2b6…e854backed Qatar26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155940.7%24 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked Qatar28c57.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-45.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd8b3…01babacked Qatar36c56.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.22934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-11.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc6af…05c6backed Qatar31c54.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174544.4%20 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe520…e4e3backed Canada76c52.76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.768558.8%50 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Qatar38c52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7688852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fd3…30c5backed Qatar20c50.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103863.2%24 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+40.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x847f…218abacked Qatar33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.513557%77 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x304e…4747backed Canada33c49.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.642321.7%5 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c40…44a1backed Qatar36c47.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178047.5%38 W · 42 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a72…7592backed Qatar34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153647.2%17 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Canada64c44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8437352.5%196 W · 177 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5408…590fbacked Qatar30c43.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2874…018fbacked Canada70c43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137243.1%31 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Canada80c40.5$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.19142.9%39 W · 52 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8278…ad93backed Canada28c40$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.826344.5%117 W · 146 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.