TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$350,823
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$351,391

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $350,823 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99e4…e4c4backed Under60c42,517$25,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,888.397445.9%34 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over45c31,400$14,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,129.823,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under55c27,197$14,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,218.7553448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x802e…76fdbacked Over45c17,665$7,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,979.983271.9%23 W · 9 L+5.2wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over17c14,330$2,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,436.1465737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over31c14,106$4,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,359.294,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over16c11,819$1,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,903.344,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.9874447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over45c9,736$4,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,422.032,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under54c7,100$3,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,236.871,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under72c6,460$4,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,818.832,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under58c5,750$3,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,391.962,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under54c4,294$2,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.32,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over23c4,199$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.921,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over21c3,937$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.822,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over30c3,550$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.051,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over19c3,500$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66513447.8%64 W · 70 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Under79c3,000$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.998258.5%48 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14b9…f378backed Under54c2,958$1,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.566929%20 W · 49 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4882…6207backed Over17c2,342$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick38cpaid-77.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under57c1,997$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.643,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over45c1,962$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.271,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over32c1,909$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.731,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over45c1,834$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.61,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over20c1,747$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.882,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Under11c1,363$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.0713552.6%71 W · 64 L+25.9wins+0.19per pick33cpaid+129%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over45c1,233$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.331,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over37c1,164$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.171,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0df…9cf9backed Under7c1,000$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9302020%4 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick7cpaid+121.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47023729.1%69 W · 168 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed Under76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2408847.7%42 W · 46 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under53c999.97$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.9870648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under55c910.17$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.62,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75b0…3c40backed Over34c908.16$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.72650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under56c862.06$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.163,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Under56c821.14$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.6336350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd84f…dd03backed Over9c788.7$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.728622.1%19 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2db1…a565backed Over48c787.5$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under12c740.08$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.271,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bc9…ab64backed Under7c726.04$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.223525.7%9 W · 26 L+6.8wins+0.20per pick6cpaid+327.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over44c716.83$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.931,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb157…0120backed Over21c714.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015042.7%64 W · 86 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over20c659.82$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.851,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Over45c650.49$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.7211443.9%50 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over19c647.72$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.962,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Over48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28810042%42 W · 58 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Over46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27636838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc232…e604backed Under56c600$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under55c553.9$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.752,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508748.3%42 W · 45 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Over44c499.84$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9319750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under58c492.26$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.751,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x897c…cb6cbacked Under56c446.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.433470.6%24 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under53c444$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.6845038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under68c440.99$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.262,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over47c432.13$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.18652.3%45 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3504…d4f1backed Under54c407.41$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.4112556.8%71 W · 54 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x81c1…5c7dbacked Over28c358.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick68cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x038f…78a8backed Over19c352.79$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.03742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick18cpaid+185.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over33c351.44$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.688,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x118c…ae45backed Over16c343.75$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5525115.5%39 W · 212 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over45c306.3$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.823,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Over46c300.34$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6892038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4518…1cacbacked Under54c299.99$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.9917757.1%101 W · 76 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over17c285.21$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.732,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0a1…6daebacked Over36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021828.9%63 W · 155 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Under52c275.42$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.28549.4%42 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6190…5d90backed Under58c274.26$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.732965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over46c273.91$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12621029%61 W · 149 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over14c262.04$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.82,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under54c250.25$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.093,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed Over46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11513830.4%42 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b5b…ffbabacked Over21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6faf…de48backed Over42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020224.8%50 W · 152 L-15.8wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb54…17ecbacked Under54c237.8$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.391662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cdc…25d5backed Over45c235.42$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.943450%17 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3515…ef87backed Over43c235$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.052850%14 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6314…3515backed Over44c229.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2353…45eabacked Over32c228.44$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734228.6%12 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49d9…d6c1backed Over27c222.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3334544.1%152 W · 193 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc44…fa40backed Over45c222.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004245.2%19 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45ff…6412backed Over18c222.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4036530.7%112 W · 253 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2480…4bc0backed Over46c222$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.122236.4%8 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10051045.3%231 W · 279 L+21.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6436…da96backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008542.4%36 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x79c9…a9d7backed Over9c211.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6bf…05b6backed Over45c208.4$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.782213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-64.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xed91…fbeabacked Over24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under56c200$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.882348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94ac…cd94backed Over36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7228544.6%127 W · 158 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b94…ecf4backed Over44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under56c200$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.81,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Under56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8833555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9e7…377dbacked Over8c199.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169253.3%49 W · 43 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b91…fb9dbacked Over10c199.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208417.9%15 W · 69 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over47c198.35$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4258029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ba3…8cb2backed Under52c194$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.121258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3803…7eafbacked Over8c184.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1420850.5%105 W · 103 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+95.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1585…c3b7backed Over26c170.84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4524745.7%113 W · 134 L+1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb855…c1bebacked Under55c163.64$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6419245.8%88 W · 104 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.