TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2353…45ea

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
166
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT4228.6%12 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.74
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.01
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$34.31
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$415.88
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.43
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.23
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$227.92
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.96
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.12
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.65
Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 1 Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.95
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.48
Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.66
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+300%+$145.77
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.48
Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.86
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$185.14
Norway vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$79.78
France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.72
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.51
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.85
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$173.3
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.65
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT2725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Fortress vs AaB Bulls (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Division 1 Playoffsbacked AaB Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.89
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffsbacked Procyon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.43
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs OG (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.9
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-Inbacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.43
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$49.97
Counter-Strike: illwill vs MASONIC (BO3)backed MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$30.94
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$69.96
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne (BO3)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.9%+$42.46
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Washington (BO3)backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Brute vs Washington (BO3)backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+203%+$37.05
Counter-Strike: SkinRave vs Phoenix (BO3)backed Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs HyperSpirit (BO3)backed Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Imperial (BO1)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100.38
Counter-Strike: M80 vs TYLOO (BO1)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$99.15
LoL: 100 vs REDbacked RED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Will FURIA win FISSURE Playground 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+145.9%+$302.08
CS: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs B8backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$69
LoL: FLY vs VKSbacked VKS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
CS: FURIA vs Falconsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$112.36
Valorant: BLG vs RRQbacked RRQ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+130.7%+$196.81
LoL: TES vs ALbacked AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$109
Valorant: XLG vs SENbacked XLG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+248.7%+$248.69
Valorant: RRQ vs FNCbacked RRQ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FOKUS vs Pixel Lumina (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group Abacked Pixel Lumina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.05
Valorant: Division One vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Division One · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.63
Valorant: FOKUS vs Beşiktaş Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Clash Group Omegabacked Beşiktaş Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$43.4
Valorant: Galatasaray Esports vs FUT Academy (BO3)backed Galatasaray Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+203%+$77.15
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs MIBR Female (BO5)backed MIBR Female · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$99.15
Valorant: NRG vs Fnatic (BO5)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.58
Valorant: MIBR vs DRXbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.94
Valorant: MIBR vs NRGbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Valorant: Fnatic vs Paper Rexbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$426.06
Valorant: DRX vs G2 Esportsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$376.19
Valorant: NRG vs GIANTXbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: Team Heretics vs MIBRbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$142
Valorant: Fnatic vs DRXbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$89
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esportsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will T1 win VALORANT Champions 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.9
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$43.35
Will Barcelona vs. Alaves end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.96
Will Getafe win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Getafe vs. Alaves end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$162
Will Getafe win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$74
Will Villarreal win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+270.8%+$111.04
Will Sevilla vs. Villarreal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-09-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HSBC Championships: Hamad Medjedovic vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritzbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$70.28
Adelaide International: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Sebastian Kordabacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$81
ASB Classic, Qualification: Eliot Spizzirri vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Marcos Giron vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$44.31
Swiss Indoors Basel: Casper Ruud vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.42
China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.31
China Open: Linda Noskova vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
China Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Arthur Cazauxbacked Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$158.33
All 11 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Livingston FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60.17
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$83.13
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$150.77
Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Kayserispor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Kocaelispor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$98
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Antalyaspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Alanyaspor vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will AZ vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+400%+$200
Will Trabzonspor vs. Gaziantep FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+203%+$109.64
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$71.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-51.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$95.52
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+185.7%+$57.52
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$95.98
Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.92
Will Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$142
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$312.66
Will Brentford vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+42.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+72.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FlyQuest vs Vivo Keyd Starsbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Fnatic vs Karmine Corpbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: JDG vs ALbacked JDG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.94
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer Leverkusen vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Turkey win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$169.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.