Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd08825656de406e368d5f861ba60d1c342a72fed6d5e4118b31e64426a20b185
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 29c | 38,683$11,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,234.85 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed No | 77c | 16,040$12,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,681.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc264…2560backed Yes | 26c | 6,154$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 76c | 5,527$4,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.01 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 38c | 4,984$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,090.17 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9465…cfeebacked Yes | 26c | 3,850$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 68c | 3,803$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.04 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 3,788$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.79 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7947…3781backed No | 74c | 3,380$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69de…34aabacked No | 74c | 3,379$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 77c | 3,300$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f33…e239backed No | 74c | 3,243$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 76c | 3,110$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.93 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Yes | 63c | 3,003$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,618$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…278cbacked Yes | 76c | 1,372$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 73c | 1,317$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.57 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Yes | 38c | 1,308$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 73c | 1,300$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 79c | 1,283$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.47 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 26c | 1,136$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.44 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…4ce3backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 62c | 983.75$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.82 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 71c | 660.25$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.43 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 37c | 625$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.75 | 150 | 71.3%107 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes | 28c | 600$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked No | 75c | 489.6$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.63 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 27c | 399.97$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes | 34c | 372.06$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…44a2backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 59c | 346.22$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.94 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…45eabacked Yes | 29c | 344.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf8…b837backed Yes | 27c | 296$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 34c | 291.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 74c | 259.5$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.47 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d06…d48ebacked Yes | 27c | 259.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 79c | 230$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 70c | 206.16$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 27c | 182.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 64c | 172.78$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95d1…817ebacked No | 75c | 160.36$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 73c | 160$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 31c | 158.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9a…5b99backed Yes | 34c | 151.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd45b…933ebacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9342…6e58backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 76c | 107.52$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.07 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9b…1e2abacked Yes | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.49per pick | 69cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…2882backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccf…4aedbacked Yes | 27c | 74.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc6…3629backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…7025backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x582b…20afbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…28d7backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 73c | 71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yes | 66c | 67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 60c | 58.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x001b…1bd7backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 37c | 54.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…b378backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e6…e838backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 77c | 44.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -5.7wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…e03abacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x428b…d8aebacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 72c | 25.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd00…4fc0backed Yes | 76c | 25.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9e…94cfbacked No | 74c | 22.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3396…759fbacked No | 73c | 18.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?this page
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-09-26?Yes won
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-09-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.