TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-09-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$196,662
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$236,723

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,662 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yes44c41,215$18,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,899.64633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No56c40,281$22,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,646.97650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+48.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed No58c23,000$13,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,339.982433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+32.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No53c8,201$4,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,346.456960.9%42 W · 27 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes43c8,000$3,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,56013348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No64c7,779$4,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,972.3221560%129 W · 86 L+15.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No52c7,535$3,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,948.872128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes47c7,500$3,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,97514346.9%67 W · 76 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes42c7,303$3,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,235.528242.7%35 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes47c4,359$2,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,295.274341.9%18 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked No56c4,341$2,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,430.81675%12 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+38.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2002832.1%9 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes44c4,000$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2408041.3%33 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes45c3,973$1,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,181.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed No54c3,740$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,019.61127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes56c3,551$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,551.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked No54c3,148$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7001618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.24per pick43cpaid-33.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes45c3,109$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes47c3,062$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.661060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Yes47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No28c2,991$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.726040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No73c2,517$1,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,848.093158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes47c2,367$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.7424044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No53c2,009$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.774551.1%23 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+44.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No52c1,973$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.5913050.8%66 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No56c1,869$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.984839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No51c1,863$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.9614654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed No54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-59.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed No53c1,763$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.39933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-48.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No62c1,649$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.589051.1%46 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No54c1,575$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.981,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes49c1,534$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.3419055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No56c1,500$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8409140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes30c1,200$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.994131.7%13 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5702050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5205556.4%31 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked No53c999.96$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No55c976.09$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.3720232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes12c906.41$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8007546.7%35 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed No62c896.18$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.631947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed No54c803.51$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.89520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6692…1125backed Yes44c800$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.82560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes71c773.01$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.1735157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89d1…6448backed Yes30c674.04$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.041250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes30c625$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.515071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb663…bedfbacked Yes40c571$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.6580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+55.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes46c560$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.88444%37 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No56c552.27$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.271060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No54c544$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.6823260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed No54c524.07$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2831650%8 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fce…28f8backed Yes43c500.13$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Yes44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked No9c500$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.333026.7%8 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick21cpaid-16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No55c499.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.994845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8004…8125backed Yes40c494.7$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.44850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes42c475.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.14425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes42c473.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.274346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No52c443.99$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.883775.7%28 W · 9 L+10.6wins+0.29per pick47cpaid+62.6%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes24c435.59$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.593740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Yes48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.671450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes26c390$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.6633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes45c388.86$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.8723151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes46c363.04$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.044645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x25f4…ad1bbacked Yes46c339.08$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+46.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.151741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2152…0b84backed Yes44c318.18$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1862157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+38.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1657146.5%33 W · 38 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Yes46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes15c300$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed6…a111backed Yes41c293.65$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.65540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes43c271.19$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.0524642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefab…a304backed Yes42c269.33$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.16837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed Yes38c260.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.02837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No55c237$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.352437.5%9 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e64…7308backed No54c222.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e9a…5b99backed Yes42c214.29$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.29650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.77450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+31.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa421…c61fbacked Yes48c211.48$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c47…5a56backed Yes48c208.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x467e…c62dbacked Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-70.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x235a…b3b8backed Yes48c208.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.27742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1064628.3%13 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked No62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1241546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed No57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c64…0e91backed Yes48c189.58$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.58450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked No53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007031.4%22 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed No54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002544%11 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x797f…d4e0backed No54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes21c180$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.21,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a6…4bd3backed Yes48c164.58$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.581764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+35%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No54c163.85$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5320860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes32c150$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.316242%68 W · 94 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddef…cd67backed Yes38c126.16$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Yes42c117.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.74850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes26c114.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.43030%9 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes27c111.9$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.472711.1%3 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-53.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5175…1546backed Yes45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.11666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x944e…7f73backed Yes44c109.09$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.