TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7c64…0e91

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Serie A, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST2540%10 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Bucks vs. Nuggetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$95
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Knicks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+146.4%+$161.06
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+143.9%+$123.76
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+222.6%+$111.29
Bucks vs. Warriorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$84
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Magic vs. Netsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Clippers vs. Knicksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+316.7%+$274.19
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+156.4%+$78.21
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$42.35
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Celtics vs. Jazzbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+54.4%+$87.06
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+163.2%+$32.63
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+138.1%+$70.43
All 25 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST2425%6 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+163.2%+$97.89
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Fulham FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Macclesfield FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+150%+$75
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+170.3%+$53.55
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$61
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$143
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+284.6%+$39.85
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$39.56
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Wolves win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$171
All 24 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+41.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+143.9%+$43.17
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Torino FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+177.8%+$55.11
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will SSC Napoli vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+177.8%+$35.56
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+75.4%+$33.95
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+400%+$40
Will US Lecce win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+156%+$15.6
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-67.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-73.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
College Football: Undefeated 15-0 team?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$60
USC vs. TCUbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Tennessee vs. Illinoisbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Boise State vs. Washingtonbacked Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$33
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Krakenbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Jetsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$24.26
Hurricanes vs. Penguinsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Kraken vs. Utahbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 4 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+177.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+455%+$159.24
Will Anthony Joshua win by decision or technical decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$143
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+158.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$71
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+416.3%+$328.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+121%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+121%+$342.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSV win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$188.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.