TailMyPicks
Market

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Texas Longhorns vs. Alabama Crimson Tide

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Texas Longhornsof Texas Longhorns, Alabama Crimson Tide
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,420
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,308

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,420 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56fc…733ebacked Texas Longhorns64c9,466$6,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,407.594560%27 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Texas Longhorns64c4,828$3,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,744.655,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d97…f263backed Alabama Crimson Tide41c4,610$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Alabama Crimson Tide36c4,444$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6003638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Alabama Crimson Tide41c3,617$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.032,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b16…e8b8backed Texas Longhorns18c3,584$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,953.82147.6%10 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.19per pick29cpaid+53.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Alabama Crimson Tide25c3,384$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.4846446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Alabama Crimson Tide47c3,010$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.6274152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2f…3531backed Alabama Crimson Tide36c1,980$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.723348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Alabama Crimson Tide56c1,843$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.8972248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Texas Longhorns63c1,758$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.6218844.7%84 W · 104 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c81…fce3backed Alabama Crimson Tide42c1,736$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.592277.3%17 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Alabama Crimson Tide33c1,597$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.8161446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Alabama Crimson Tide42c1,548$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.96248.4%30 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5aa…5bd7backed Texas Longhorns60c1,509$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.61353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Texas Longhorns65c1,306$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.4515861.4%97 W · 61 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed Alabama Crimson Tide29c1,250$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.523028.3%65 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Alabama Crimson Tide64c1,199$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.044,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Alabama Crimson Tide52c1,054$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.635,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ab9…5b82backed Alabama Crimson Tide26c970.85$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0ee…78cfbacked Alabama Crimson Tide36c948.94$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.62520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb874…04ccbacked Alabama Crimson Tide58c926.29$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.29450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Texas Longhorns30c868.02$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.6119050.5%96 W · 94 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Texas Longhorns14c859$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.372,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Texas Longhorns56c858.28$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.173549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Alabama Crimson Tide28c763.86$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.312941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Alabama Crimson Tide63c760.17$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.773,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Texas Longhorns51c715.95$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.34146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Texas Longhorns26c710.43$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.6814925.5%38 W · 111 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f22…55f7backed Alabama Crimson Tide40c625$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504544.4%20 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Texas Longhorns13c517$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.641,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b92…046ebacked Texas Longhorns74c499.99$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Texas Longhorns49c498.99$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.4445644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Alabama Crimson Tide64c465.21$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30045351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Texas Longhorns50c458.64$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.651,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Texas Longhorns20c438.73$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.012,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Texas Longhorns50c428.3$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.4236845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Alabama Crimson Tide72c419.95$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.351,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Texas Longhorns57c416.22$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.641,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Alabama Crimson Tide23c400$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.631,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c36…2213backed Texas Longhorns68c399.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ee…5cf0backed Texas Longhorns44c388.43$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.872853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x829e…0302backed Alabama Crimson Tide41c368.77$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Alabama Crimson Tide37c351.62$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.292,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Texas Longhorns21c347.73$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.1342327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Alabama Crimson Tide27c316$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.432,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0236…fa20backed Alabama Crimson Tide79c304.45$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.36875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Alabama Crimson Tide28c286.12$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805024%12 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked Alabama Crimson Tide78c242.4$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.4325254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x670d…0825backed Alabama Crimson Tide42c227.1$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.382626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-43.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alabama Crimson Tide27c221.82$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.411,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9549…b936backed Alabama Crimson Tide21c211.35$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x28b9…9719backed Alabama Crimson Tide53c204.24$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.145831%18 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-33.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Texas Longhorns38c202.57$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.43,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f5…8be3backed Alabama Crimson Tide54c185.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5512733.9%43 W · 84 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Alabama Crimson Tide28c170$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.68342.2%35 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Alabama Crimson Tide56c166.77$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.832343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Texas Longhorns67c155$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.672,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x447d…630cbacked Alabama Crimson Tide48c151.84$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.391050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Alabama Crimson Tide15c150$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.58814.8%13 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fa1…df77backed Texas Longhorns62c141.88$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.381650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Alabama Crimson Tide48c141.65$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.551,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae78…46cbbacked Alabama Crimson Tide39c130.56$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Alabama Crimson Tide68c124$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.031,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Texas Longhorns48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.44240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Texas Longhorns23c118.83$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+339.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Texas Longhorns27c117.34$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6614021.4%30 W · 110 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Alabama Crimson Tide70c112$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9445953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Alabama Crimson Tide38c107.36$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7757335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x698a…fe0dbacked Texas Longhorns60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Texas Longhorns14c100$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Alabama Crimson Tide43c92.06$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6930746.3%142 W · 165 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Texas Longhorns14c87.87$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.571,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a4…caf5backed Texas Longhorns32c87.53$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.527020%14 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e0f…1132backed Texas Longhorns70c85.75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.752382.6%19 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Alabama Crimson Tide40c64.4$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.765731.6%18 W · 39 L-7.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-44%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed Texas Longhorns53c54.72$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.722850%14 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Alabama Crimson Tide35c53.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.715534.5%19 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Alabama Crimson Tide40c51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.448462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Alabama Crimson Tide68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3434649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b05…25dfbacked Alabama Crimson Tide31c47.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155540%22 W · 33 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c64…0e91backed Alabama Crimson Tide43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eb2…fedbbacked Texas Longhorns53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2849…0cd8backed Texas Longhorns52c38.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.77862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick73cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Texas Longhorns50c34.3$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.394036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Alabama Crimson Tide49c34.16$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6621342.3%90 W · 123 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Alabama Crimson Tide72c29.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5913147.3%62 W · 69 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c0…e43ebacked Texas Longhorns76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.323565.7%23 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+41.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Alabama Crimson Tide68c26.18$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8935050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c34…c8b8backed Texas Longhorns51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.814339.9%57 W · 86 L-0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cd1…0b70backed Texas Longhorns76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.84770.2%33 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick70cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b11…4419backed Texas Longhorns65c18.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.