TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3e0f…1132

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Middle East, grading 65 out of 100 (+0.13 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 65 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST2382.6%19 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Xavier Musketeers vs. Seton Hall Piratesbacked Xavier Musketeers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. Houston Christian Huskiesbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+25%+$5
Cal State Fullerton Titans vs. UC Riverside Highlandersbacked UC Riverside Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Charleston Cougars vs. Stony Brook Seawolvesbacked Stony Brook Seawolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
Texas Longhorns vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+42.9%+$25.75
Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. East Texas A&M Lionsbacked East Texas A&M Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Florida International Golden Panthers vs. Missouri State Bearsbacked Missouri State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
South Florida Bulls vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
North Dakota State Bison vs. Omaha Mavericksbacked Omaha Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Maine Black Bears vs. NJIT Highlandersbacked Maine Black Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+36.1%+$14.42
Harvard Crimson vs. Columbia Lionsbacked Harvard Crimson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleersbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. UAB Blazersbacked Florida Atlantic Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Creighton Bluejays vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
La Salle Explorers vs. Rhode Island Ramsbacked La Salle Explorers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+47.8%+$9.56
UCF Knights vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaquerosbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+25%+$5
California Baptist Lancers vs. UT Arlington Mavericksbacked UT Arlington Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Army Black Knights vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawksbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Tulane Green Wave vs. East Carolina Piratesbacked Tulane Green Wave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Mercer Bears vs. Furman Paladinsbacked Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Wright State Raidersbacked Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST2281.8%18 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+36.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+45.1%+$9.03
Nuggets vs. 76ersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+426.3%+$85.26
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hornets vs. Thunderbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+80.7%+$48.44
Nuggets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$16.34
Nuggets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+37%+$14.79
Suns vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Magic vs. Pacersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Warriors vs. Hornetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+29.9%+$29.87
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+56.3%+$33.75
Celtics vs. Trail Blazersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Cavaliers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$10.63
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Hornets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
All 22 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1650%8 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Blues vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Sabres vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Jets vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
AHL: Abbotsford Canucks vs. Manitoba Moosebacked Manitoba Moose · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lightning vs. Ducksbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Wild vs. Sharksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
AHL: Providence Bruins vs. Springfield Thunderbirdsbacked Providence Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
AHL: Laval Rocket vs. Belleville Senatorsbacked Laval Rocket · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.75
AHL: Hershey Bears vs. Lehigh Valley Phantomsbacked Hershey Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Rangers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Predators vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Blackhawks vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+37%+$14.79
Capitals vs. Devilsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+47.1%+$18.82
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+4.6wins+0.46per pick44cpaid+178.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$125.2
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$180
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$492
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$205
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$88.33
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+324.6%+$324.59
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+49.3%+$247.5
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+455.6%+$164
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
No US strike on Syria in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+426.3%+$383.94
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$5.87
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+25.3%+$10.13
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+61.5%+$12.3
All 6 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-44%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+249.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Preasy Mix vs CSDIILIT (BO3)backed Preasy Mix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs MANA eSports (BO3)backed MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+42.9%+$17.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$99.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+28.2%+$19.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Man Vs Baby" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 16, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+27.5%+$100.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,267Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,266.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SA20: MI Cape Town vs Pretoria Capitals (Game 1)backed MI Cape Town · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.