NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7504a2bf7da168643bc58639590d9f10837fb7fc0f1b357ce42530a3ddbdd5ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blackhawksof Blackhawks, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $368,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $381,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $368,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Blackhawks | 33c | 170,089$56,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,199.27 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Stars | 67c | 107,954$72,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,329.28 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Blackhawks | 25c | 28,423$7,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,382.81 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Stars | 67c | 25,944$17,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,387.11 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Stars | 57c | 13,910$7,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,986.59 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Stars | 76c | 12,000$9,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,120 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Stars | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Stars | 60c | 11,814$7,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,051.71 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Stars | 67c | 8,845$5,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,926.15 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…f821backed Stars | 68c | 8,562$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Blackhawks | 25c | 8,241$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,180.62 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Blackhawks | 24c | 7,500$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Stars | 75c | 6,666$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.5 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stars | 67c | 6,108$4,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,120.27 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Blackhawks | 70c | 5,331$3,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.45 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Blackhawks | 24c | 5,074$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,856.08 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Stars | 67c | 5,043$3,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,378.81 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Blackhawks | 32c | 4,738$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,237.78 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Stars | 76c | 4,731$3,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,594.61 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Blackhawks | 46c | 3,890$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.1 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Blackhawks | 29c | 3,255$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.24 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Stars | 76c | 3,222$2,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.64 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Blackhawks | 39c | 3,058$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.8 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Stars | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Stars | 67c | 2,804$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.82 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…f161backed Blackhawks | 24c | 2,786$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…5e0fbacked Stars | 62c | 2,757$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -8.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Blackhawks | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.33 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Blackhawks | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Stars | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Stars | 3c | 1,900$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 107 | 6.5%7 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9397…ceb4backed Blackhawks | 24c | 1,846$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.92 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…ef40backed Blackhawks | 43c | 1,735$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…65fabacked Stars | 76c | 1,711$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Blackhawks | 24c | 1,700$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…0c56backed Blackhawks | 25c | 1,680$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Blackhawks | 24c | 1,669$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.11 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Stars | 60c | 1,654$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Stars | 76c | 1,603$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.07 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…4399backed Stars | 59c | 1,433$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Stars | 75c | 1,345$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.69 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…95dbbacked Blackhawks | 24c | 1,334$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Stars | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -15.6wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Stars | 1c | 1,333$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Stars | 75c | 1,311$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.25 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Blackhawks | 37c | 1,223$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.91 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stars | 60c | 1,203$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.72 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Stars | 75c | 1,184$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.55 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Stars | 52c | 1,184$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.13 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Stars | 75c | 1,071$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.25 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Stars | 68c | 1,020$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Stars | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Stars | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e4…70f5backed Stars | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Blackhawks | 24c | 999.98$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.98 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06c1…c5dbbacked Stars | 76c | 989.47$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Blackhawks | 40c | 962.99$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.6 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blackhawks | 40c | 960.76$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.52 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4f…37b8backed Stars | 25c | 880.08$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.82 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Blackhawks | 53c | 815.25$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.06 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Stars | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Stars | 75c | 793$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.75 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Blackhawks | 42c | 716.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7217…a87cbacked Stars | 76c | 651.42$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Stars | 76c | 605.26$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Blackhawks | 24c | 600$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a8…3d3fbacked Blackhawks | 25c | 596$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Blackhawks | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Stars | 52c | 581$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.67 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Blackhawks | 44c | 571.04$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.06 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Stars | 79c | 570.83$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.37 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Blackhawks | 24c | 561.65$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.86 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Stars | 60c | 556$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.16 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Stars | 60c | 545.33$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.24 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Blackhawks | 24c | 540.03$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.43 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stars | 64c | 523.9$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.74 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Stars | 67c | 515.66$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.82 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Stars | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Stars | 76c | 499.94$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.96 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Stars | 61c | 492.21$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc862…65afbacked Blackhawks | 25c | 480$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Blackhawks | 25c | 479$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.88 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba10…bde0backed Blackhawks | 24c | 476$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Blackhawks | 23c | 465.6$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.51 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Stars | 76c | 462$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.12 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…d049backed Blackhawks | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Blackhawks | 45c | 396.6$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.85 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ca…39b9backed Blackhawks | 72c | 388.98$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.91 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Blackhawks | 36c | 388.89$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.89 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…6448backed Blackhawks | 24c | 379$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfec1…cb69backed Blackhawks | 25c | 379$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +153.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9da2…0ca7backed Blackhawks | 24c | 378$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Stars | 65c | 350$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.5 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…366bbacked Blackhawks | 37c | 350$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Stars | 68c | 310.43$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.51 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Stars | 75c | 303$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.25 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Stars | 76c | 300$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Stars | 68c | 300$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.75 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Stars | 58c | 291.04$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.14 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Blackhawks | 35c | 288.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.29 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackhawks vs. Starsthis page
- Blackhawks vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Blackhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.