NHL · resolved market

Blackhawks vs. Stars: O/U 5.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21a4845901f0aded112e49a0814c30ecb165c8b1665d45b205609b1cb7a4fb2c

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 28, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $68,536
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $68,686

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,536 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Under	49c	57,584$28,211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,211.17	1,345	54.8%737 W · 608 L	+21.0wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	51c	12,954$6,611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,342.95	1,948	49.4%962 W · 986 L	+24.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Over	51c	10,980$5,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,380.39	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over	51c	10,500$5,355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,145	1,441	49.2%709 W · 732 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under	48c	8,000$3,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,839.97	895	47%421 W · 474 L	-18.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed30…f821backed Over	51c	5,490$2,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,690.2	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Over	51c	3,952$2,016 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,936.68	642	42.2%271 W · 371 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Over	52c	3,744$1,947 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,797.12	246	54.5%134 W · 112 L	+9.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked Over	52c	3,180$1,654 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,526.4	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over	51c	2,982$1,521 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,461.35	514	52.3%269 W · 245 L	+17.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over	51c	2,940$1,499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,440.6	1,024	48.4%496 W · 528 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Over	51c	2,040$1,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$999.6	201	47.8%96 W · 105 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Over	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960.89	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08fe…aedfbacked Over	51c	980.39$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.39	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over	51c	902.81$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$442.38	282	51.8%146 W · 136 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over	51c	745.8$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$365.44	205	52.2%107 W · 98 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under	50c	600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	318	48.1%153 W · 165 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Over	52c	576.92$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.92	108	50.9%55 W · 53 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over	50c	500.01$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	1,143	50.8%581 W · 562 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Over	51c	411.76$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.76	396	49.5%196 W · 200 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	51c	372.52$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.53	2,894	51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L	+58.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under	55c	308$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.88	2,314	46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	45c	308$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.88	2,664	51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L	+58.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over	52c	288.46$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.46	160	56.3%90 W · 70 L	+11.6wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over	52c	250$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	346	53.2%184 W · 162 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Over	51c	201.98$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.97	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Under	17c	200$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	210	40.5%85 W · 125 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Over	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	+3.6wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	49c	168.42$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.61	939	53.6%503 W · 436 L	+29.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over	75c	120$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	1,406	47%661 W · 745 L	+58.6wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd43c…6003backed Over	51c	99.41$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.71	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-2.2wins	-0.16per pick	52cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b23…39fdbacked Over	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Under	12c	90$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	139	41.7%58 W · 81 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over	50c	79$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.5	792	51.1%405 W · 387 L	+21.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over	51c	67.5$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.9	1,530	51.7%791 W · 739 L	+22.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under	50c	55.62$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.81	490	53.7%263 W · 227 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f9f…c934backed Under	50c	50.2$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	214	54.2%116 W · 98 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Over	51c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	134	53%71 W · 63 L	+6.7wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c17…0458backed Over	51c	42.87$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.87	61	50.8%31 W · 30 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	51c	41.44$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.49	2,754	47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L	+11.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	137	43.1%59 W · 78 L	-7.8wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1725…7405backed Over	51c	39.21$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.21	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Over	73c	33.6$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.07	74	36.5%27 W · 47 L	-9.6wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7590…d6e0backed Over	56c	26.79$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.79	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-3.2wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d11…17fdbacked Over	51c	26$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.74	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under	50c	25.06$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.53	285	50.2%143 W · 142 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Over	51c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.25	90	45.6%41 W · 49 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x394d…6d80backed Under	50c	21.56$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.78	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ca…36f7backed Under	50c	21.56$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.78	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x100a…cb02backed Under	50c	21.56$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.78	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b29…47b2backed Under	50c	21.56$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.78	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38d7…43b2backed Under	50c	21.56$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.78	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ae…7269backed Under	50c	21.56$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.78	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8610…fa01backed Under	50c	21.56$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.78	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cd2…716abacked Under	50c	21.56$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.78	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe959…578bbacked Under	50c	21.56$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.78	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb1…1129backed Under	50c	21.56$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.78	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	52c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	2,112	42.9%907 W · 1,205 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe1aa…071abacked Under	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Blackhawks vs. Stars: O/U 5.5this page
Blackhawks vs. StarsBlackhawks won
Spread: Stars (-1.5)Blackhawks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Blackhawks vs. Stars: O/U 5.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event