TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x50c1…6c6c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
209
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NFL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 59 out of 100; worst AI at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST13743.1%59 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 137 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Sharksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Blues vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Capitals vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Kings vs. Jets: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Canucks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41.69
Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Senators vs. Utah: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Blues vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Flames vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Stars vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Bruins vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Wild vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Blackhawks vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Predators vs. Flames: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Maple Leafs vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Jets vs. Senators: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Avalanche vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Flyers vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Sabres vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Utah vs. Devils: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Penguins vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Wild vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Kraken vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rangers vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Blues: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 137 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1650%8 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+52.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+300%+$30
Kings vs. Pacersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Pistons vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Nets vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+156.4%+$31.28
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Trail Blazers vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+104.9%+$20.98
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+177.8%+$35.56
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+525%+$52.5
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 16 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+166.7%+$66.69
Will Legia Warszawa win on 2025-12-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+175.5%+$64.94
Will FC Lausanne-Sport win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$169
Will KKS Lech Poznań vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+122.2%+$48.89
Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$13.52
Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+72.4%+$42
Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$61
Will Jagiellonia Białystok win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Legia Warszawa win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Rangers FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+53.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-72%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+104.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+212.5%+$34
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+122.2%+$16.5
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+92.3%+$14.4
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+29.9%+$29.87
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+66.4%+$7.05
All 5 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+51.5%+$17
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+40.4%+$48.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$31.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$301
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$32.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.