NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Kings: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd50c0123ba41f59e3fc24c8b56c02bc13db57a5833ec0b72f68bb0a813312eb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Over | 51c | 32,413$16,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,006.71 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 49c | 20,017$9,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,808.13 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 50c | 9,132$4,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,566 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 5,508$2,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.05 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 48c | 3,814$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.89 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 3,172$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.03 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 48c | 1,761$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.46 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 50c | 1,533$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.55 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 1,151$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.81 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed3…bffcbacked Over | 52c | 1,050$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Under | 52c | 1,040$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Over | 49c | 723$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.73 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 674$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.26 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 48c | 414$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.72 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Under | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Under | 50c | 330$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 300.02$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.01 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 59c | 262.75$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.73 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 257.75$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.68 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Over | 53c | 148$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 49c | 109.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 48c | 103$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Over | 52c | 69.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -10.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x394a…536ebacked Over | 52c | 55.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 49c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 52c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c27…b3c6backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Under | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Under | 49c | 21.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f73…02b3backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Kings: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Wild won
- Wild vs. KingsKings won
- Wild vs. Kings: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.