TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Wild, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$563,458
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$574,601

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $563,458 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 363 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaa07…2125backed Wild48c85,984$41,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,592.651,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Kings52c50,609$26,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,280.1838748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Kings53c47,630$25,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,529.071,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98f7…b3e4backed Wild49c36,101$17,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,802.7510753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xafe9…1113backed Kings54c36,068$19,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,591.091163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+46.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Kings53c34,622$18,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,272.458657%49 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Kings53c29,762$15,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,926.7788151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Wild47c21,835$10,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,262.65364.2%34 W · 19 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+34.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Wild46c20,973$9,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,647.5828353%150 W · 133 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Kings54c18,356$9,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,518.0561953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Kings54c18,000$9,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,28012947.3%61 W · 68 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Wild46c15,000$6,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,90032946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Wild47c14,379$6,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,773.661,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Kings62c12,648$7,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,814.432744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed Kings54c12,246$6,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,633.162343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+52.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings55c12,144$6,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,454.481,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Wild47c12,004$5,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,641.886653%35 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Wild47c10,864$5,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,126.931,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Kings53c9,434$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,433.965453.7%29 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5836…4d03backed Wild46c8,609$3,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9708247.6%39 W · 43 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Wild50c8,032$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00023047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Wild47c7,402$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50060337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Wild46c7,306$3,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,386.5533652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kings53c7,000$3,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,289.9989547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe459…737dbacked Wild51c6,800$3,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,435.221546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Wild46c6,567$3,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,048.351452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Kings53c5,620$2,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,625.9756649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Wild48c5,495$2,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,636.417744.6%79 W · 98 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x360d…5e0fbacked Wild50c5,388$2,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6704032.5%13 W · 27 L-8.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-39.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kings63c5,387$3,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,020.032,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Wild46c5,122$2,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,368.371,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Wild46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3001,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Kings54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,30022150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Wild47c4,771$2,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,242.288650%43 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df3…53d7backed Kings57c4,723$2,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,010.522955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Kings53c4,662$2,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,191.1424654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Wild53c4,500$2,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,384.8119645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kings50c4,494$2,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,241.5189636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Wild47c4,170$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.932251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Kings54c4,118$2,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,894.1553050.6%268 W · 262 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Wild41c4,066$1,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,673.2861748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Wild47c4,000$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,87033345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Wild33c3,719$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.8499638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wild39c3,442$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.72,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Wild46c3,333$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.1875251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3158…d469backed Kings53c3,200$1,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5043060%18 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Wild46c3,174$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,46026946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Wild13c3,013$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.971,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Kings54c2,783$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.5138738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Kings61c2,504$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.6952172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe2d…da35backed Wild49c2,469$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kings65c2,338$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.372,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Wild47c2,240$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.7455446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Kings53c2,167$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.3922852.6%120 W · 108 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb973…ff16backed Wild48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010746.7%50 W · 57 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed Kings54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92011254.5%61 W · 51 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Kings55c1,964$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.055853.4%31 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Kings53c1,961$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.5939047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings53c1,815$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.2197651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3679…2bacbacked Wild15c1,788$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.518952.8%47 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Kings52c1,670$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.661959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Kings52c1,666$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.1310850.9%55 W · 53 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Wild32c1,609$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.9627739.4%109 W · 168 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Wild46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69024845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Wild45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67544551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Wild46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69036038.6%139 W · 221 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x538a…0823backed Kings53c1,490$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.31668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Wild17c1,471$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.261,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x65cd…1e0bbacked Wild34c1,421$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.82650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42fd…4661backed Wild50c1,300$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6462948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Kings53c1,255$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.5193953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Wild32c1,244$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.7934538.6%133 W · 212 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Wild36c1,123$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.4557157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Wild36c1,119$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.0416752.7%88 W · 79 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Wild1c1,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.117450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Wild44c1,087$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.694450%22 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Wild48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50035829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Wild33c1,036$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.2849045.3%222 W · 268 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…559fbacked Wild47c1,031$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.65560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Wild1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe779…335ebacked Kings54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4604463.6%28 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Wild47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47011253.6%60 W · 52 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Wild47c1,000$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46981846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Wild47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4707338.4%28 W · 45 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Wild46c999.95$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.9742847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Kings52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5411151.4%57 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb83a…6bfcbacked Kings52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.541154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Kings52c934.37$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.525447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa097…fba7backed Wild48c900$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4294936.7%18 W · 31 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Wild9c900$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781076.5%7 W · 100 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d84…aa68backed Kings51c856.76$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.811947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2a…2f37backed Wild50c848.78$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.272653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wild44c844.89$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.763,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Wild39c814.63$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.811,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Wild25c808.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Wild24c793.45$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.925752.6%30 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6af8…e9c0backed Kings51c780$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.04714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-72.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Kings66c779.46$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.6743742.3%185 W · 252 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked Kings63c753.11$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.236958%40 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.