NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87631eebe48bd05e94f9a521ef4abe4001eaa447d0ec58a0793c44b1a64c7018
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Over | 46c | 20,209$9,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,376.7 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 16,376$8,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,607.4 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fc…7ac6backed Under | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 44c | 4,776$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.97 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.99 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Over | 44c | 1,705$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 54c | 972$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.12 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 51c | 611$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.39 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 56c | 280$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 56c | 183.59$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.78 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 44c | 174.81$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.48 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…2371backed Over | 46c | 156.52$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 33c | 139$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 116.86$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…69e3backed Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 75c | 89.64$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 103 | 67%69 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 70c | 70.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 75c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Over | 44c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 67c | 34.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f73…02b3backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5this page
- Bruins vs. CanucksBruins won
- Bruins vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)Canucks won
- Spread: Canucks (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.