TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc95f…357f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
282
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 56 out of 100; worst College Football at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT16852.4%88 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 168 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.1
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.97
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.04
Spread: Warriors (-14.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$18.05
Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.81
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Hornets vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.95
Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.16
Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$18.2
Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.78
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.34
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.81
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$17.37
Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Spread: Heat (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$10.82
Suns vs. Pacers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+127.8%+$22.44
76ers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 113.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+108.8%+$15.63
Knicks vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.39
Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.07
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Showing 25 of 168 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT4254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Jets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.4
Blue Jackets vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Kings vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.21
Flyers vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.05
Ducks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Canadiens vs. Senators: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+171%+$22.08
Red Wings vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
Blackhawks vs. Stars: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.4
Bruins vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Sabres vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Kings vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.89
Panthers vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.95
Sharks vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+108.3%+$16.64
Sabres vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+117.4%+$21.06
Rangers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+122.2%+$18.43
Blues vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$7.2
Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+117.4%+$17.82
Penguins vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Senators vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+108.3%+$28.08
Golden Knights vs. Bruinsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.35
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.13
Ducks vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+132.6%+$17.1
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$23.22
Penguins vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$22.95
Predators vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+117.4%+$17.82
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$22.08
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$17.16
49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14.08
Spread: Texans (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+132.6%+$21.09
Packers vs. Vikings: O/U 37.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17.01
Cowboys vs. Giants: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16.32
Titans vs. Jaguars: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15.55
Spread: Bears (-1.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+150%+$16.8
Chiefs vs. Raiders: O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21.12
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$23.4
Buccaneers vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+112.8%+$12.4
Bills vs. Browns: O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Spread: Giants (-2.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+112.8%+$19.17
Spread: Colts (-3.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Packers (-13.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Chargers (-3.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Lions (-6.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Bears (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.75
Spread: Patriots (-6.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+100%+$20
Spread: Commanders (-5.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+100%+$20
Patriots vs. Saintsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phoenix: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Gironbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
Hersonissos 2: Paul Jubb vs Maxim Mrvabacked Maxim Mrva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.6
Hersonissos 2: Stefan Dostanic vs Toby Samuelbacked Stefan Dostanic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Cap Cana: Dalibor Svrcina vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.81
Phoenix: Jacob Fearnley vs Arthur Cazauxbacked Arthur Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$17.08
Cherbourg: August Holmgren vs Thomas Faurelbacked Thomas Faurel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.16
Hersonissos 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Jacopo Berrettinibacked Jacopo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.85
Set Handicap: Draper (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)backed Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$18
BNP Paribas Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.87
Fucsovics vs. Fils: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$15.39
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Fearnley (+1.5)backed Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+143.9%+$20.65
Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Diallo (+1.5)backed Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Thionville: Otto Virtanen vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20.52
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Opelka (+1.5)backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.2
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Berrettini (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+75.4%+$23.65
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Moutet (+1.5)backed Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$17.08
Atmane vs. Dimitrov: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+56.3%+$21.6
Buse vs. Berrettini: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+100%+$17
Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Buse (+1.5)backed Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+132.6%+$22.8
Set Handicap: Paul (-1.5) vs Walton (+1.5)backed Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+51.5%+$8.5
Set Handicap: Mensik (-1.5) vs Zhang (+1.5)backed Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Set Handicap: Khachanov (-1.5) vs Fucsovics (+1.5)backed Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Set Handicap: Darderi (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)backed Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15.21
Qatar Open: Ugo Humbert vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+132.6%+$14.82
Set Handicap: Shapovalov (-1.5) vs Fokina (+1.5)backed Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.88
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-59.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
California vs. Hawaiibacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$182.77
Spread: Washington (-10.5)backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$13.91
Spread: Washington State (-3.5)backed Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Miami (OH) (-2.5)backed Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Florida Gators (-9.5)backed Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
All 5 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+87.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.48
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-4.5)backed Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Marist Red Foxes vs. Bryant Bulldogs: O/U 131.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$19.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.