NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe96b242ebcb55113d0da6e990784e90f7815045ba139675ba028bfc2f7f689a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 57c | 9,632$5,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,455.28 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Under | 45c | 6,767$3,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,721.83 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 55c | 6,388$3,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,513.31 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Under | 43c | 4,908$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.06 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 4,277$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.27 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 56c | 3,828$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,143.68 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 43c | 2,924$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.95 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.99 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 43c | 2,456$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.86 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 21c | 1,980$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.1 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 56c | 1,485$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.83 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 1,210$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.23 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 56c | 1,201$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.4 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 43c | 1,192$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.32 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 43c | 1,164$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.39 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc929…36c4backed Under | 45c | 1,033$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 57c | 1,001$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.8 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 21c | 768.96$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.86 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…5249backed Under | 45c | 516.69$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Over | 22c | 487.49$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.14 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 44c | 444$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.64 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 57c | 387.25$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.02 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 55c | 335.65$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.61 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 30c | 291.92$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.51 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 43c | 255.81$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.81 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Over | 57c | 245.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 309 | 52.4%162 W · 147 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48c0…0a70backed Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Under | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 44c | 137.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 36c | 127$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 61c | 110$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b05…b227backed Under | 75c | 106.58$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 44c | 89.88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.57 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 45c | 87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Under | 45c | 81.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 58c | 74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 56c | 66.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Under | 44c | 56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…b262backed Under | 45c | 53.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Under | 44c | 52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Over | 55c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…fc18backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 57c | 45.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 42c | 41.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 47c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Over | 56c | 38.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Over | 57c | 38.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Under | 46c | 38.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…3f0abacked Over | 57c | 37.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 39c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Over | 55c | 36.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 31c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Under | 44c | 35.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +43%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Over | 57c | 29.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…5537backed Over | 57c | 26.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9882…2669backed Under | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 57c | 25.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 249 | 49.8%124 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 43c | 24.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02a…2573backed Over | 57c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Over | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 55c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5this page
- Ducks vs. AvalancheDucks won
- Ducks vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Ducks won
- Spread: Avalanche (-2.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.