NHL · resolved market
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x908cd3995016735a041e1fd1ea0bfdae3a0a4e631d977e2ba3ed9dd8d031c29c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Avalanche, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Ducks | 46c | 14,823$6,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,977.46 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Avalanche | 54c | 10,451$5,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,618.38 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Ducks | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Avalanche | 53c | 2,694$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.48 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af4…ed6bbacked Avalanche | 55c | 2,656$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Avalanche | 54c | 1,873$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.21 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Ducks | 45c | 1,837$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.74 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Ducks | 48c | 1,035$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.2 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Avalanche | 52c | 1,010$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.2 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Ducks | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Avalanche | 54c | 723$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.42 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Ducks | 47c | 639$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.67 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Ducks | 48c | 628.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.85 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Avalanche | 52c | 579.03$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.1 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Ducks | 47c | 553.12$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.05 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b7…cc32backed Avalanche | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Avalanche | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Avalanche | 52c | 473.22$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.06 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3973…2b2abacked Avalanche | 54c | 414.44$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.05 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Avalanche | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Ducks | 57c | 350$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.5 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Avalanche | 54c | 332.48$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.54 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…fc18backed Avalanche | 52c | 321.57$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Avalanche | 31c | 318.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.93 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Avalanche | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 388 | 57.2%222 W · 166 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…8451backed Avalanche | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Ducks | 47c | 296$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.36 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Avalanche | 55c | 259.09$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…107fbacked Ducks | 55c | 250.14$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.06 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Avalanche | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche | 31c | 245.01$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.19 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Ducks | 47c | 221.28$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.28 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Ducks | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Avalanche | 53c | 203.74$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…b6c9backed Ducks | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Avalanche | 55c | 199.64$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.63 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Avalanche | 12c | 193.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Avalanche | 54c | 189.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.59 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa08b…9d78backed Avalanche | 55c | 181.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Ducks | 46c | 172$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Avalanche | 54c | 169.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.79 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Ducks | 46c | 141.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.04 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…1bdbbacked Ducks | 47c | 126.38$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +73%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Avalanche | 54c | 124.77$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.31 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Avalanche | 54c | 115$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…3059backed Avalanche | 54c | 111.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Ducks | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Ducks | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Avalanche | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Avalanche | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Ducks | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Avalanche | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…8115backed Avalanche | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Avalanche | 52c | 91.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Ducks | 45c | 87.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche | 34c | 83.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Ducks | 47c | 77.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Ducks | 47c | 77.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Ducks | 46c | 64.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Avalanche | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Avalanche | 54c | 63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Ducks | 48c | 62.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Ducks | 47c | 49.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Avalanche | 53c | 47.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Avalanche | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Avalanche | 54c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Avalanche | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +43%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x951b…291abacked Avalanche | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e91…3e2abacked Ducks | 47c | 35.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Ducks | 48c | 35.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Avalanche | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 321 | 45.5%146 W · 175 L | -18.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Ducks | 47c | 27.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Avalanche | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Avalanche | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Avalanche | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…e9f7backed Avalanche | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)this page
- Ducks vs. AvalancheDucks won
- Ducks vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-2.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.