NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Avalanche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97b9aa8e3dca9ef07a2a0ffc586fa22d8b9d7e5901d7e452136ae28ca1eeb40f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Ducks, Avalanche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $900,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $938,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $900,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 883 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1222…2aa7backed Ducks | 27c | 288,720$78,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210,120.71 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Ducks | 26c | 95,145$25,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,107.43 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Avalanche | 73c | 66,100$48,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,581.12 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Avalanche | 73c | 56,652$41,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,355.96 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Avalanche | 72c | 52,334$37,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,460.29 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Avalanche | 73c | 50,206$36,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,548.36 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Avalanche | 73c | 42,500$31,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,025 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Avalanche | 73c | 25,000$18,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,250 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Ducks | 26c | 20,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,799.75 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Avalanche | 58c | 18,049$10,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,536.81 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Avalanche | 70c | 17,915$12,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,544.85 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Ducks | 27c | 15,741$4,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,490.74 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Avalanche | 72c | 15,677$11,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,287.15 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Ducks | 27c | 15,000$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,949.98 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Avalanche | 73c | 14,004$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.99 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Avalanche | 70c | 12,402$8,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,654.49 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Avalanche | 48c | 12,000$5,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,720 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Avalanche | 74c | 11,100$8,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,214 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Avalanche | 73c | 9,912$7,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,203.16 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Avalanche | 74c | 9,504$7,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,033 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Ducks | 54c | 8,535$4,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,902.86 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche | 74c | 7,884$5,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,812.05 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d5…6575backed Avalanche | 74c | 7,541$5,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,580 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…64c5backed Avalanche | 74c | 7,247$5,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,362.91 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Ducks | 57c | 7,000$4,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,975.47 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Avalanche | 73c | 6,606$4,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,828.34 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Avalanche | 73c | 4,821$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.89 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Avalanche | 49c | 4,725$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.7 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Avalanche | 73c | 4,500$3,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,270 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Ducks | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.7wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Ducks | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.99 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Avalanche | 55c | 3,733$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.48 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Avalanche | 10c | 3,708$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.89 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…94a9backed Ducks | 27c | 3,706$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,705.19 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Avalanche | 73c | 3,590$2,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,620.7 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Avalanche | 43c | 3,396$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.28 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Avalanche | 74c | 3,311$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Avalanche | 74c | 3,293$2,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Ducks | 67c | 3,144$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.69 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Ducks | 41c | 3,084$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Avalanche | 74c | 2,703$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ducks | 37c | 2,577$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.37 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Avalanche | 5c | 2,500$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Ducks | 27c | 2,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Avalanche | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.97 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…1fbcbacked Ducks | 43c | 2,498$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.29 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Ducks | 28c | 2,455$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.05 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Ducks | 26c | 2,400$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.96 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5413backed Avalanche | 47c | 2,346$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.05 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Avalanche | 73c | 2,222$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.06 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Avalanche | 1c | 2,221$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Avalanche | 74c | 2,197$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.99 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Ducks | 71c | 2,196$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.96 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Avalanche | 74c | 2,155$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Ducks | 41c | 2,005$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.44 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Ducks | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Avalanche | 73c | 1,990$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.44 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Ducks | 28c | 1,971$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.42 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba31…de52backed Avalanche | 1c | 1,932$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Ducks | 26c | 1,873$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.13 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Avalanche | 72c | 1,824$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.27 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Avalanche | 73c | 1,808$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.84 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Avalanche | 58c | 1,741$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.56 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Avalanche | 49c | 1,710$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.73 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Avalanche | 74c | 1,630$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Avalanche | 72c | 1,600$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Avalanche | 73c | 1,505$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.6 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Avalanche | 63c | 1,504$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.66 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Avalanche | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2976…704ebacked Ducks | 27c | 1,496$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.08 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5969…219abacked Avalanche | 73c | 1,496$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…8af2backed Avalanche | 73c | 1,492$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.16 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f7…a4b5backed Ducks | 27c | 1,492$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe599…53bdbacked Ducks | 27c | 1,489$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.97 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebfa…e072backed Avalanche | 73c | 1,489$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.97 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…bc6abacked Avalanche | 73c | 1,489$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.97 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x561a…10f1backed Ducks | 27c | 1,489$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.97 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…c7c5backed Ducks | 27c | 1,489$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.97 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.35per pick | 43cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…e0b2backed Avalanche | 73c | 1,489$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.97 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1b…0711backed Avalanche | 73c | 1,489$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.97 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…3611backed Ducks | 27c | 1,489$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…7854backed Avalanche | 73c | 1,488$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d6…8d69backed Ducks | 27c | 1,488$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c5fcbacked Ducks | 27c | 1,481$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.13 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93c7…806ebacked Avalanche | 73c | 1,481$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.13 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34ba…ac0dbacked Avalanche | 73c | 1,480$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d51…9761backed Ducks | 27c | 1,480$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4384…a13dbacked Ducks | 27c | 1,477$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.21 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…d2d5backed Avalanche | 73c | 1,477$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.21 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…876dbacked Ducks | 27c | 1,469$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.37 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…0e09backed Ducks | 27c | 1,469$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.37 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4b…b871backed Avalanche | 73c | 1,469$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.37 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecc7…1929backed Avalanche | 73c | 1,469$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.37 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87bf…d3a1backed Avalanche | 73c | 1,468$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d0…5c1ebacked Ducks | 27c | 1,468$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.64 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…5332backed Avalanche | 73c | 1,467$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.91 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d13…93f2backed Ducks | 27c | 1,467$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.91 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b1…6befbacked Ducks | 27c | 1,466$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae27…4c30backed Avalanche | 73c | 1,466$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d4…81f9backed Ducks | 27c | 1,464$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.72 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Avalanchethis page
- Ducks vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Ducks won
- Spread: Avalanche (-2.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.