TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf35f…64c5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
101
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: UFC, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 56 out of 100; worst College Football at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST4862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,034Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+72.4%+$748.76
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,249Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$3,249.05
Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$768.63
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$775Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$775
Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 244.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$750
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$800
Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 14.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,591Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+37%+$1,328.07
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,558Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$4,558.49
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$895Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$895.45
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+62.3%+$871.89
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,993Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$736.99
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,880Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+33.3%+$2,626.82
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+203%+$741.06
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$738.46
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$629Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$654.67
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$8,832Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+44.9%+$3,968
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,437Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$1,436.9
Spread: Heat (-3.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,976Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$1,975.79
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,157Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+72.4%+$3,010.13
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,025Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+47.1%+$1,423.44
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,429Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$2,428.73
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$1,000
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST2748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado State Rams vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebelsbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Bowling Green Falconsbacked Bowling Green Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-7.5)backed North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+108.3%+$758.33
Illinois State Redbirds vs. UIC Flamesbacked UIC Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$764Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+96.1%+$733.83
Youngstown State Penguins vs. Detroit Titansbacked Youngstown State Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,248Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,248.49
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$420
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. UC Riverside Highlandersbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+33.9%+$577.06
Spread: Memphis Tigers (-1.5)backed North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+100%+$740
Tennessee State Tigers vs. Southern Indiana Screaming Eaglesbacked Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$243
Spread: South Dakota State Jackrabbits (-1.5)backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$217
California Baptist Lancers vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirdsbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+43.9%+$615.16
UIC Flames vs. Drake Bulldogsbacked UIC Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+100.7%+$503.64
Spread: Stanford Cardinal (-2.5)backed Stanford Cardinal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$732Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+87.3%+$639.3
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$824Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+93.3%+$768.94
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Penn State Nittany Lionsbacked Penn State Nittany Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,327Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+150%+$3,490.26
Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 152.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,023Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,022.87
North Dakota State Bison vs. South Dakota Coyotes: O/U 152.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-6.5)backed Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$800
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Pittsburgh Panthers: O/U 148.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+96.4%+$770.98
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-10.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Portland State Vikings vs. Idaho Vandalsbacked Portland State Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$514Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$556.94
Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-8.5)backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$750
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-16.5)backed Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$520.5
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-4.5)backed Colorado Buffaloes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$561.5
Georgia Bulldogs vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$541.5
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,238Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,237.69
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,001.72
Blackhawks vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,858Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+63.9%+$1,827.07
Avalanche vs. Senatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,473Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$5,472.64
Spread: Wild (-1.5)backed Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,808Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+63.9%+$1,156
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,363Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$5,362.91
Sabres vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$955Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$954.75
Flyers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+203%+$659.85
Blues vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,075Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+69.5%+$747.24
Oilers vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+99.9%+$2,247.66
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$4,019.8
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,067Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$3,067.19
Canadiens vs. Panthersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+112.8%+$563.83
All 13 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$754.39
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$738.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+300%+$774
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$120
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chile Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tomas Barriosbacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+61.3%+$735.48
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$937Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$937.29
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,645Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,645
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.