TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$368,775
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$376,274

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $368,775 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed No61c72,859$44,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,056.782475%18 W · 6 L+6.3wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+58.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No62c45,153$27,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,309.828258.5%48 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+36.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Yes38c35,604$13,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,529.453237.5%12 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Yes35c27,380$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,599.5520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No62c20,000$12,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,6008751.7%45 W · 42 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x62a1…f032backed Yes39c20,000$7,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,899.972147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes37c12,243$4,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,541.5358248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No62c12,000$7,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,559.986643.9%29 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes39c10,986$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,320.438043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes38c10,586$4,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,074.9226645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No60c10,448$6,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,161.2133851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes38c10,022$3,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,843.4859741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed No56c7,792$4,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,400.51650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes40c7,781$3,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,112.429846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No61c7,650$4,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,983.58231.7%26 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No60c6,256$3,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,496.7663346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bcc…0c4bbacked Yes40c6,080$2,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,432450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes35c5,942$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,070.251,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No62c5,411$3,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,056.318259.8%49 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Yes39c4,883$1,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.634325.6%11 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No61c4,552$2,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,775.285433.3%18 W · 36 L-8.6wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-40.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb603…754bbacked No62c4,000$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5202100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+189%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes2c3,962$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5339743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d5…b767backed Yes39c3,841$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.88616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-61.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Yes9c3,450$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.191520%3 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No60c3,043$1,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.3718160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes40c3,000$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21016349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes38c2,997$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.0322147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes40c2,952$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.772937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed No61c2,500$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9754045%18 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac3…5572backed No60c2,048$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20bb…5bb4backed Yes40c2,037$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8813…47e6backed No60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8002458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No62c1,860$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.6839746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed No61c1,764$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.963548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e6f…c966backed Yes7c1,762$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes38c1,412$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.4529136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Yes38c1,323$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.742552%13 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf35f…64c5backed Yes39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes39c1,150$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.522441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked No58c1,137$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.129149.5%45 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes37c1,012$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.5823637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick16cpaid+125.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40019755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011737.6%44 W · 73 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4003759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes41c999.78$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.916141%25 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc755…d0c4backed Yes4c999.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.97944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No60c907$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.816853.6%90 W · 78 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a16…de20backed Yes9c900$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+35.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes40c875$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3507429.7%22 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70dd…a4e3backed Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-77.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No57c832$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.7720947.8%100 W · 109 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes7c814.48$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1243427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes10c770.19$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.812123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick29cpaid+63.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes39c762.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes40c700$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28012242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d08…763ebacked Yes3c700$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-43.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e3d…cdc2backed No61c688.52$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.52475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+99.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes12c682.6$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.281,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No60c666$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.45230.8%16 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes38c651.15$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013234.1%45 W · 87 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e70…9a38backed Yes40c630.42$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2586747.8%32 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked No62c599.99$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2281060%6 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+118.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No60c581.29$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.2813146.6%61 W · 70 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes3c579.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.486839.7%27 W · 41 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+37.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes37c540$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.81450%7 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Yes43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2157146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19037544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7253…505abacked Yes8c499.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-37.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e9…7b20backed Yes33c493$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.21346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-35.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No60c483$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.216144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No61c452.73$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.3746048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd923…aed5backed Yes17c450$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid+13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x170e…aa0dbacked Yes40c450$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802955.2%16 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes39c438.29$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.938336.1%30 W · 53 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f06…980bbacked Yes40c437.5$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+72.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Yes39c435.64$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.684740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No56c426.3$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.574450%22 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes38c421.05$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde5a…4db5backed Yes40c414.95$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.981752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+62.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes40c410$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.113931.7%44 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick21cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x747b…720dbacked Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201850%9 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15622647.3%107 W · 119 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bbd…606cbacked Yes39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes5c392.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.120042.5%85 W · 115 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes39c354.26$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.2913246.2%61 W · 71 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209426.6%25 W · 69 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed No64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.510566.7%70 W · 35 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed No60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d40…e36cbacked Yes42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1262737%10 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Yes37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12338748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12611152.3%58 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x769c…5c05backed Yes38c297$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.861250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.