TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1a55…fd0d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
235
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT7850%39 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.02
Senegal vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+114.8%+$114.85
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$99.57
Germany leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$109.29
Norway vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$113.75
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$353.85
Norway vs. Senegal: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+103.7%+$346.2
France vs. Iraq: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$159.07
New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+111.2%+$357.17
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$102.18
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 7.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+108.6%+$115.1
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.45
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.28
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT5742.1%24 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,376Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,375.83
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Nets vs. Nuggets: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$351.9
Hornets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+81.8%+$409.09
Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Bulls vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+104.1%+$208.16
Pistons vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$399.76
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$2,221.72
Trail Blazers vs. Celticsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$480
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Raptors vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,406Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,405.71
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+205.9%+$411.82
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+211.7%+$2,646.75
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+580.3%+$1,880.74
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$200.16
Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$208.17
Rockets vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$86.82
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+150%+$300
Rockets vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$190
Kings vs. Cavaliersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$593.33
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT3650%18 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.59
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$199.75
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,192.82
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$222.08
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+270.4%+$675.93
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$218.4
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$200.07
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$200.22
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+138.1%+$295.8
Will Watford FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$203.49
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+163.2%+$341
West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+88.7%+$192.7
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$499.85
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+142.9%+$300.08
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$210.8
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+244.8%+$702.48
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+194.1%+$399.3
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+203.1%+$417.58
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,134Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+109.6%+$1,242.79
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,550Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+140.9%+$2,183.83
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$102.56
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$769.99
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,054Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,053.6
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$223.53
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.11
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$67.66
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$199.8
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$226.83
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+212.5%+$424.32
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+170.3%+$340.2
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$199.8
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$199.8
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$199.75
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+100%+$205
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+212.5%+$446.25
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$694Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$693.52
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$204
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+163.2%+$334.47
All 14 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+122.2%+$633.07
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+104.1%+$86.6
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$301.95
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+163.2%+$326.74
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+143.9%+$359.31
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$210.68
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$200.89
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+107.7%+$297.12
Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$214.5
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$215
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+170.3%+$478.79
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-50.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$601Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$600.75
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,206.7
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$209.29
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,459Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+91.5%+$1,335.6
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$409.35
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$201.5
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+203%+$417.41
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$351.07
All 10 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$199.5
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+143.9%+$287.8
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+185.7%+$383.49
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$203.99
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$346.1
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$200.31
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,007Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$2,006.84
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-57.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+66%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,507Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,506.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.