NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbed61cd2f96e0137ad098dcd8941efedea6f2e304f8b786f2a177ffffa9328a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,976,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,127,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,976,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Nuggets | 32c | 192,774$61,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,387.52 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pistons | 69c | 126,558$87,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,233.12 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…858dbacked Nuggets | 31c | 68,509$20,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,952.67 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pistons | 69c | 54,793$37,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,222.69 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Nuggets | 30c | 46,124$13,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,837.3 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Pistons | 68c | 39,999$27,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,799.82 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pistons | 68c | 37,658$25,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,065.04 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Pistons | 57c | 37,006$21,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,923.31 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Nuggets | 5c | 36,911$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.55 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets | 11c | 36,545$4,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,007.22 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 69c | 34,460$23,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,525.96 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Nuggets | 31c | 32,117$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Pistons | 71c | 26,111$18,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,572.19 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Nuggets | 18c | 25,424$4,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,482.56 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Pistons | 69c | 25,000$17,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,667.16 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons | 70c | 25,000$17,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Nuggets | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pistons | 78c | 24,787$19,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400.41 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Nuggets | 20c | 24,313$4,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,912.55 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nuggets | 8c | 20,909$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.15 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Nuggets | 4c | 20,511$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.44 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Pistons | 70c | 20,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Nuggets | 44c | 19,955$8,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,680.38 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3644…6fdfbacked Pistons | 69c | 18,008$12,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,582.57 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Pistons | 68c | 14,907$10,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,733.4 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 31c | 14,310$4,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,422.02 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 69c | 13,795$9,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,306.65 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42b…b143backed Pistons | 68c | 13,500$9,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x593a…0541backed Nuggets | 31c | 13,500$4,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,184.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets | 29c | 13,123$3,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,805.77 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Pistons | 70c | 12,837$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,837.27 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Pistons | 69c | 12,750$8,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,977.05 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Nuggets | 6c | 10,849$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.58 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce0…48fcbacked Pistons | 69c | 10,400$7,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,224 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Pistons | 76c | 10,278$7,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.49 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Pistons | 71c | 10,000$7,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Nuggets | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Pistons | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Nuggets | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Nuggets | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.98 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Pistons | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.93 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pistons | 68c | 9,946$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,146.01 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…3bbdbacked Nuggets | 31c | 9,700$3,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,007 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…c3a9backed Nuggets | 31c | 9,677$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 69c | 9,013$6,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,818.67 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Nuggets | 31c | 8,645$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…b37bbacked Nuggets | 22c | 8,533$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.91 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Nuggets | 31c | 8,065$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c9…cd97backed Pistons | 69c | 8,000$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Pistons | 70c | 8,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbab7…bc7cbacked Nuggets | 31c | 8,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.99 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nuggets | 19c | 7,815$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.21 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Nuggets | 9c | 7,808$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.88 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Nuggets | 17c | 7,764$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.36 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Pistons | 69c | 7,759$5,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,443.36 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Nuggets | 31c | 7,543$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,338.33 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…5abfbacked Pistons | 70c | 7,225$5,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.5 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Nuggets | 31c | 7,000$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb9…15f0backed Nuggets | 31c | 6,930$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Pistons | 69c | 6,788$4,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.22 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nuggets | 28c | 6,100$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Nuggets | 32c | 6,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Nuggets | 20c | 5,943$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.24 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb470…ba61backed Nuggets | 17c | 5,853$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.97 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nuggets | 17c | 5,676$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.59 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Nuggets | 3c | 5,658$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.73 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Nuggets | 15c | 5,400$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.49 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Pistons | 70c | 5,379$3,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.55 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae74…6aefbacked Pistons | 70c | 5,282$3,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Pistons | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…35aebacked Pistons | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Nuggets | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Nuggets | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Nuggets | 30c | 5,000$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Pistons | 69c | 4,783$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.61 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pistons | 69c | 4,530$3,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.18 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pistons | 69c | 4,366$3,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.32 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Pistons | 69c | 4,300$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.21 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Pistons | 69c | 4,300$2,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pistons | 68c | 4,299$2,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.47 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…a5cbbacked Nuggets | 35c | 4,222$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.88 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Nuggets | 23c | 4,054$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.8 | 458 | 38%174 W · 284 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Pistons | 69c | 4,032$2,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.04 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Pistons | 69c | 4,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa827…1adbbacked Nuggets | 31c | 4,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Nuggets | 30c | 3,983$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.05 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Pistons | 68c | 3,868$2,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.51 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880a…e678backed Nuggets | 31c | 3,838$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.78 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Pistons | 70c | 3,681$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.4 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Pistons | 80c | 3,676$2,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.29 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84a9…b878backed Pistons | 69c | 3,624$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets | 29c | 3,531$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.18 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0072…3d75backed Nuggets | 9c | 3,500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 147 | 38.1%56 W · 91 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b08…2f0fbacked Nuggets | 4c | 3,458$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pistons | 68c | 3,442$2,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.81 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Pistons | 80c | 3,435$2,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.94 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Nuggets | 12c | 3,398$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.9 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Pistons | 70c | 3,390$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Nuggets | 22c | 3,266$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.84 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Pistons | 70c | 3,250$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Nuggetsthis page
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 214.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 215.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 216.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 217.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 218.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.