NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a48f0807dc29425cb41de4e22537243fdc0ea21545a342d06d91577acb8dcd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Pistons, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $901,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $925,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $901,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pistons | 50c | 350,309$175,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175,154.68 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pistons | 50c | 334,294$166,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166,613.32 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Nuggets | 50c | 300,000$150,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nuggets | 50c | 264,127$132,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132,063.56 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Nuggets | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,000 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pistons | 50c | 36,437$18,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,218.35 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Nuggets | 53c | 25,660$13,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,066.8 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 22,907$11,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,453.63 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Nuggets | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -11.0wins | -0.28per pick | 49cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pistons | 48c | 16,124$7,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,739.35 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Nuggets | 51c | 15,606$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,606.44 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 50c | 11,456$5,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,727.9 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Nuggets | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 9,999$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,999.5 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 48c | 8,395$4,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,035.45 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Pistons | 50c | 8,327$4,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160.68 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Nuggets | 48c | 6,134$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,183.17 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Pistons | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.86 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Pistons | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 52c | 3,174$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.68 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 57c | 3,088$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.63 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nuggets | 50c | 3,023$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.84 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons | 46c | 2,869$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.38 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Nuggets | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Pistons | 50c | 2,240$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.94 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…bd7dbacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.93 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pistons | 48c | 1,774$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.94 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,417$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.2 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pistons | 48c | 1,404$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.08 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pistons | 47c | 1,286$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.13 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,048$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.84 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Nuggets | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pistons | 51c | 843.75$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Pistons | 48c | 799.99$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Pistons | 48c | 791.67$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Nuggets | 50c | 740.7$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.35 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Nuggets | 50c | 722.86$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.2 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Nuggets | 51c | 684.31$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.31 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Nuggets | 52c | 674.81$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.91 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Pistons | 59c | 670.97$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.94 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Nuggets | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Pistons | 50c | 490.43$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.64 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…1f1ebacked Nuggets | 52c | 433.77$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.29 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Nuggets | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Pistons | 50c | 396.25$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.12 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Pistons | 36c | 382.76$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.79 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Nuggets | 51c | 331.35$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.36 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Pistons | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Nuggets | 43c | 299.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.99 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd501…b86ebacked Pistons | 57c | 232.12$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Pistons | 54c | 219.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.79 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Nuggets | 46c | 217.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.76 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Nuggets | 49c | 209.43$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.82 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6052…c0c3backed Nuggets | 52c | 208.92$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.28 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Pistons | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Nuggets | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe711…3dd2backed Pistons | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Pistons | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 46.9%106 W · 120 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Pistons | 15c | 150.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…fe42backed Pistons | 51c | 146.08$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.38per pick | 51cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Pistons | 48c | 123.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Pistons | 52c | 109.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Pistons | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Pistons | 35c | 101.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x135c…0c80backed Pistons | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Pistons | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Pistons | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd349…63f8backed Nuggets | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…8d4cbacked Pistons | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.5wins | -0.37per pick | 50cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x46df…b057backed Nuggets | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 211 | 64.5%136 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Nuggets | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e65…701cbacked Nuggets | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Nuggets | 51c | 94.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Pistons | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7a…416fbacked Nuggets | 47c | 85.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0f…34c7backed Pistons | 60c | 82.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5934…1f8abacked Pistons | 60c | 82.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81db…5655backed Pistons | 62c | 80.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Nuggets | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed Pistons | 54c | 79.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Nuggets | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec46…9370backed Pistons | 65c | 76.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd913…2cf7backed Nuggets | 53c | 75.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Nuggets | 52c | 73.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7622…542bbacked Pistons | 68c | 73.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…ca7dbacked Pistons | 63c | 71.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Nuggets | 46c | 70.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Pistons | 50c | 69.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Pistons | 50c | 67.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Nuggets | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Pistons | 45c | 65.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Nuggets | 51c | 63.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Nuggets | 48c | 63.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Pistons | 54c | 63.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Pistons | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Nuggets | 51c | 56.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Nuggets | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Pistons | 58c | 54.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)this page
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Pistons vs. NuggetsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 214.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 215.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 216.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 217.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 218.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.