NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcaca4cf926577c76e42bb1ef28a27b0e6d02b9215d09857cd6e8f609469d7b7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Pistons, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8eb4…d892backed Nuggets | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,000 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pistons | 51c | 40,766$20,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,975.74 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Nuggets | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Pistons | 52c | 18,469$9,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,604.02 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Nuggets | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,100 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Pistons | 54c | 13,865$7,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,487.13 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pistons | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Nuggets | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Pistons | 50c | 6,767$3,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,383.5 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Nuggets | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Pistons | 53c | 4,150$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.5 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Pistons | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Nuggets | 46c | 3,380$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.14 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c54…da2cbacked Pistons | 52c | 3,297$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.13 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Pistons | 54c | 3,229$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.91 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Nuggets | 46c | 3,217$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.39 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 47c | 3,148$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.6 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Nuggets | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Nuggets | 46c | 2,278$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.21 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nuggets | 47c | 2,192$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.23 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pistons | 52c | 2,063$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.77 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Pistons | 54c | 1,863$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,721$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.83 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 45c | 1,651$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.66 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pistons | 53c | 1,637$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.7 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 47c | 1,357$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.17 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,325$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.02 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pistons | 53c | 1,231$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.88 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Pistons | 53c | 1,060$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.71 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Nuggets | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Nuggets | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Pistons | 53c | 780.74$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.79 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x902e…5f41backed Pistons | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Pistons | 53c | 627.25$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.45 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Nuggets | 47c | 574.47$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.47 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons | 47c | 573.02$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.44 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pistons | 52c | 542.57$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.13 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 45c | 538.48$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.67 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Pistons | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Pistons | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Nuggets | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Nuggets | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…35c2backed Nuggets | 50c | 480$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc596…cbefbacked Pistons | 50c | 478.27$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Nuggets | 46c | 440$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 62c | 439.16$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.03 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Nuggets | 47c | 425$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.25 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Nuggets | 48c | 418.75$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.75 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Nuggets | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Pistons | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Pistons | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Nuggets | 48c | 387.5$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.5 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Pistons | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Nuggets | 48c | 336.61$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.61 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…1440backed Nuggets | 48c | 317.28$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Nuggets | 49c | 308.59$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.04 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Nuggets | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Nuggets | 47c | 300$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.17 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Pistons | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…9c28backed Nuggets | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 49c | 298.35$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.25 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Nuggets | 46c | 273.45$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.69 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Nuggets | 46c | 271$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.34 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Pistons | 64c | 250$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.9 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Nuggets | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Nuggets | 48c | 245.83$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.83 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Nuggets | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…4e67backed Nuggets | 50c | 206.51$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.55 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Pistons | 52c | 205.85$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.04 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Nuggets | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nuggets | 48c | 199.97$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.98 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Nuggets | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…b0d3backed Pistons | 52c | 195.22$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked Pistons | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Nuggets | 48c | 173$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.96 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Nuggets | 48c | 172.21$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.55 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fd…1852backed Pistons | 55c | 169.55$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Nuggets | 36c | 151.67$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Nuggets | 46c | 149.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.99 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Nuggets | 47c | 136$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…ab18backed Pistons | 49c | 125.89$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed Pistons | 54c | 125.07$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.54 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Pistons | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Nuggets | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Nuggets | 46c | 122$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Nuggets | 50c | 118$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Nuggets | 46c | 114.03$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd501…b86ebacked Pistons | 53c | 108.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…f0a5backed Pistons | 51c | 107.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…1965backed Nuggets | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +10.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Nuggets | 47c | 100.8$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…8d4cbacked Pistons | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.5wins | -0.37per pick | 50cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nuggets | 47c | 98.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…2034backed Pistons | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Pistons | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…38cbbacked Pistons | 54c | 92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea0…873fbacked Nuggets | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Nuggets | 47c | 76.72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)this page
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Pistons vs. NuggetsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 214.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 215.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 216.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 217.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 218.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.