TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee82…1965

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 62 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT6665.2%43 W · 23 L+10.1wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+28.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
NBA — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Celtics (-20.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$21.35
Spread: Clippers (-12.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$21.81
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.12
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$25.1
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$23.17
Spread: Hawks (-14.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$26.12
Pacers vs. Kings: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Hornets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Celtics vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+89%+$22.26
Suns vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Knicks vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+89.2%+$22.3
Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.35
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed Qatar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Czechia (-1.5)backed Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+157.1%+$20.42
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+40.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+180.1%+$57.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Predatorsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+100%+$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.